KATHMANDU - Visiting Governor of Reserve Bank of India (RBI) D. Subbarao said on Friday that the RBI could permit operation of Indian currency denominated INR 500 and INR 1,000 in Nepal if the governments of two countries decide to this regard. Amid concerns involving the use of the fake and counterfeit note of IC denominated in bigger amount, India has been prohibiting their use outside its territory. IC notes are used in Nepal and Bhutan but upto denomination of INR100. “We are concerned on the growing usages of fake and counterfeit IC notes and also about money laundering,” said Subbarao at an interaction at Nepal Rastra Bank. “The RBI is ready to change the existing policy if the governments of two countries decide to change it.” Subbarao, whose term as RBI governor extended this week for 2013, arrived here at the invitation of the NRB governor Yubaraj Khatiwada. At the interaction organised by Nepal’s central bank at its office premises, Subbarao also showed similar concern regarding allowing Nepali money transfer agency to work in India to cash in on the possibility of bringing remittance from millions of Nepalese working there. “Looking at the possibility of transfer of the fake and counterfeit currency, we have put some restriction on money transfer from such agencies,” said the RBI governor. He was not supportive to the idea of permitting Nepali money transfer agencies to enter into India for job. During the interaction, NRB governor Yubaraj Khatiwada said that Nepal was always adjusting its policy with that of India symmetrically in order to maintain ongoing peg of Nepali currency with that of India. The RBI Governor arrived for a courtesy visit will return back on Saturday.
Sunday, August 14, 2011
RBI ready to help NRB track unauthorized transfers, investments
KATHMANDU : Top official of India´s central bank -- Reserve Bank of India (RBI) -- said that RBI was ready to track unauthorized flow of money and investments by Nepalis in India, if Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) formally requested for it. “Controlling movement of illicit money is part of our job. We will extend all possible support to NRB to check the flow of illegal money and trace investments made by Nepalis in India if the two governments entered an understanding or we received formal request from NRB,” said RBI Governor Dr D Subbarao. Such statement from the visiting Indian governor came at a time when NRB has been trying to establish formal ties with the Indian central bank to control capital flight, which grew rampantly in the current political transition. NRB has been trying to tighten knots against capital flight mainly after its research hinted that corrupt politicians and bureaucrats, and private individuals that amassed huge money through illegal means were parking their earning in India. Even as a portion of that money is again channelled to third countries, officials say a substantial chunk of such money has been invested in housing and real estate sectors in India. In this context, Republica had caught up with Dr Subbarao and asked what will be RBI´s response if NRB formally requested for its support to trace and control such investments. “We will extend full cooperation to NRB,” he replied. Dr Subbarao was in Kathmandu for a two-day visit and Republica interviewed him before he left for India on Saturday.
http://www.myrepublica.com/portal/index.php?action=news_details&news_id=34695Expanding economy can offer investors good opportunities
After increasing interest rates by 3.25 percentage points over 18 months, the most by any central bank, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had said it will continue with its tightening cycle to control persistently strong price pressures and markets have been discounting a quarter-point rate rise in September. Policymakers in New Delhi, however, are likely to lobby for a halt to the rate increases in the wake of the gloomy outlook for major economies such as the US and Europe which could further slow down domestic growth.....
Loose change boon for traders in capital - RBI distributes coins to vendors to meet shortage in Bhubaneswar
Bhubaneswar : Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has started distributing coins to vendors at market places in an attempt to meet a shortage of loose change in the capital. Coins worth Rs 12 lakh were given to businessmen in Unit I market today for the first time this year. For the past several months, there has been a scarcity in coins in the market and this had become a problem for day-to-day business transactions in the city. Traders had been complaining of the lack of coins that had been affecting their business. “Since coins were few and far between, we had to give our customers other items instead of the change. Sometimes we had to get coins from unofficial sources who try to make profits out of this,” said Trilochan Jena, a vendor in Unit I market. He said the coins given by the RBI would help. RBI officials said each individual was provided with coins worth Rs 1,000. “We gave them Rs 500 in denomination of Rs 5, Rs 400 in the denomination of Rs 2 and Rs 100 in Re1 denomination,” said Muralidhar Nayak, Deputy Treasurer, RBI Bhubaneswar, who was in charge of the coin exchange programme. Sources said that 1,200 people were provided with coins today. Nayak said that in the coming days many such drives would be carried out in the city at various market places. “Such a drive will be carried out at Unit IV market tomorrow and at other places such as Damana, Khandagiri, Rasulgarh and so on later,” he said. RBI officials said that the shortage in coins in the city was artificially created. Everyday, coins worth more than Rs 5 lakh are supplied through the RBI counter and 13 currency chests all across the capital. Sources said that all over the state coins worth more than Rs 2 crore are provided to the general public every month through 130 chest offices present across the state. A senior official of the RBI said that there were several reasons for the shortage in coins in the state. Some people stockpile coins at their homes contributing to the artificial shortage. Besides, coins from Orissa are transported to other states where RBI counters and chest offices are fewer in number. The other reason was illegal racketeering of these coins to outside the state as well as to neighbouring Bangladesh. Sources said that five years ago, it came to the knowledge of the authorities of RBI Bhubaneswar during periodic meetings that coins of Rs 2 were being smuggled to Bangladesh and being converted into eight or 10 blades of high quality. So, from a Rs 2 coin, the racket was making a profit of more than Rs 10.
The Telegraph
Bhandari bank depositors rush to withdraw cash
MUMBAI: Depositors have been making a beeline to the Bhayander (east) branch of the Bhandari Cooperative Bank Limited to withdraw cash ever since the bank chairman and directors were arrested by the Anti Corruption Bureau for misappropriation of funds to the tune of Rs 35 crores. The bank having six branches across Mumbai and Thane is headquartered in Dadar. The bank has over 32,000 customers. As news of the bank turning bankrupt spread, depositors have been queuing up at the bank since morning to withdraw cash. Depositors are allowed to withdraw only Rs 1,000 per day and customers have been returning to the bank every day to withdraw the amount. Tight police security has been put in place at the Bhayander branch fearing a clash by depositors'. Policemen have been deployed both outside and on the bank counters. The frauds were committed between 2005 to 2009. The ACB received a complaint regarding the fraud in 2011. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had warned the bank over its irregularities and a monetary penalty of Rs five lakhs was imposed on the bank.
TOI
Microfinance bill: Shouldn't MFIs come under state law
Microfinance practitioners insist their embattled industry should not be regulated by state governments. State governments, they say, do not know how to regulate financial organisations. Keeping microfinance institutions (MFI) under the purview of the state government, they add, will leave microlenders vulnerable to political pressures. It is a set of arguments that has been accepted by an expert committee that wrote the draft microfinance Bill. The draft Bill, put up by the finance ministry, promises to override state laws. It also proposes that state advisory councils be set up to, among other things, monitor MFIs' field-level conduct and give a feedback to the central government. Further, it says that if the RBI feels an MFI's actions are hurting clients, it can issue orders to stop the functioning of the organisation. It is not clear, however, if these measures can protect the MFIs' poor and vulnerable borrowers. For instance, while the draft Bill gives sweeping powers to the RBI, it is far from clear if the apex bank has the capacity to supervise and monitor MFIs. Says microfinance expert Ramesh Arunachalam, "During 2008-10, the five largest MFIs - SKS, Spandana, Share, Basix and Asmitha - added a gross loan portfolio of 78.55 crore per month." The department of non-bank supervision, he says, should supervise every NBFC that has a loan portfolio of over 100 crore. However, despite each of these five MFIs adding almost 78% of that threshold value every month, their growth went unscrutinised, resulting in the collective default Andhra Pradesh saw last year. Similarly, while the draft Bill empowers the RBI to derecognise an MFI that violates borrower rights, this provision of punitive action was available to the RBI even as a regulator of NBFCs. But it was never used even when the reports of suicides among MFI borrowers and corporate misgovernance began trickling in. One reason for this relative inaction is that microfinance is still a small piece of the country's financial system. Last year, just before the Andhra Pradesh Ordinance was promulgated, the industry stood at just 27,000 crore. Today, it stands at about 15,000 crore - a minuscule portfolio when compared to the banks. And the RBI seems to be allotting proportionately limited mindspace to the industry. Further, the work of microlending and collecting is done - in multiple, small transactions - in bastis and villages. These are not transactions the RBI is geared to track. What about the state advisory councils that the Bill proposes? Can they safeguard the interests of the borrowers? No. These are problematic as well. Take their composition: two nominees from the state(s) covered by the council, one nominee from the convener bank of the state-level bankers' committee, one representative of the MFIs operating in the state(s) and one member nominated by the RBI. Who is speaking on behalf of the borrowers? Further, it is not clear how these councils will track events in the field. The borrowers are poor. Some of them will live in isolated hamlets. It is unfair to expect them to travel to the state capital (or the adjoining state's capital) for registering their grievances. This is also an architecture that fails to spell out how investigations will be carried out, nor is it clear how swiftly corrective steps can be taken under this structure. The Bill also says that the "Reserve Bank may, with the previous approval of the central government delegate, any of its powers conferred under this Act to the National Bank in respect of any microfinance institution or a class of microfinance institutions". This might be Nabard. Which is another problematic suggestion. Its self-help group programme competes with MFIs. According to IIM professor M S Sriram, "The current problems of MFIs have not occurred on account of their registration, capital structure or governance structure. They are on account of practices at the client end." The state government is the only institution with both the investigative and grievance-redressal mechanisms in place at the local level. Yet, it has no role. Remember, even the state advisory councils relay their comments to the Centre, not the state government. What is needed is a system where the RBI lays down prudential norms for the sector. But the state governments should have a role in monitoring the industry's conduct with its borrowers.
ET
Should MFIs be allowed to fail?
....To create sustainable changes we need something more fundamental than financial inclusion. We need ways to enhance human capability and the creation of value and then let the funds follow, not lead.....
Continue reading............
Who should regulate the microfinance sector?
There are far too many serious issues that require attention so that they are not repeated again and the Reserve Bank of India or some central institutions cannot undertake this task as they do not have the resources or the local presence...........
Saturday, August 13, 2011
Union Bank Centre for Banking Excellence Presents 2nd Great Lakes-Union Bank Financial Inclusion Conference at Great Lakes Campus
Chennai : The Union Bank Centre for Banking Excellence at Great Lakes Institute of Management, a leading management institute, founded by Prof. Bala V Balachandran, hosted the second conference on financial inclusion at their sprawling green campus at Manamai, here today. Dr. Y.V. Reddy, inaugurated the conference and delivered the key note address. Mr. S. C. Kalia, Executive Director, Union Bank of India delivered the presidential address. The second Financial Inclusion Conference’s theme for the panel discussion this year was ‘Microfinance: Panacea for Financial Inclusion? If so, how to get there?’. The speakers Dr. D.S.K. Rao from Micro Credit Summit; Dr. Mudit Kapoor from ISB, Hyderabad; Mr. Vivek Kulkarni from Brickwork India Pvt. Ltd. and Dr. Bappaditya Mukhopadhyay from IDF discussed the various issues around financial Inclusion, and in particular focused on Microfinance. The discussion was moderated by Dr. Subhashis Gangopadhyay from IDF and University of Gothenburg. Speaking on the occasion Prof. Bala V. Balachandran, Founder & Dean, Great Lakes Institute of Management defined Financial Inclusion as "the process of ensuring access to financial services and timely and adequate credit where needed by vulnerable groups such as weaker sections and low income groups at an affordable cost. An index of financial inclusion places India, at the 50th rank with more than 60% of the population not having bank accounts. The committee under the chairmanship of Dr. C. Rangarajan made a number of recommendations and they are under various stages of implementation.
The Telegraph
What's in a road's name?
NAGPUR: Amol Choudhari, a businessman in Pune who hails from Nagpur, was surprised during his recent visit to see a sign board proclaiming that the familiar Shankar Nagar Square had been rechristened as 'Swatantraveer Sawarkar Chowk'. Another well-known landmark, Rahate Colony square on Wardha road, was now named 'Dr Hardikar Chowk'.
What he and most other citizens of Nagpur do not know is that these are the official names of these squares. Nagpur Municipal Corporation (NMC) has now decided to use these official names on sign boards.
Amol said, "Till my last visit in April, NMC was still calling it Shankar Nagar Chowk." He is not the only person surprised and confused by the sign boards put up by NMC recently. Most citizens started noticing these 'new' names at major squares while waiting at traffic signals a few months back. Most were also left confused by the names displayed.
Prakash Najpande, a resident of RBI quarters in Civil Lines, echoed similar views. He said, "The square near my house is known to everyone as 'RBI Quarters chowk'. But a few weeks back, I noticed that NMC has renamed it without giving local residents any information and displayed a board of 'Raja Rani chowk' at the traffic junction."
What he and most other citizens of Nagpur do not know is that these are the official names of these squares. Nagpur Municipal Corporation (NMC) has now decided to use these official names on sign boards.
Amol said, "Till my last visit in April, NMC was still calling it Shankar Nagar Chowk." He is not the only person surprised and confused by the sign boards put up by NMC recently. Most citizens started noticing these 'new' names at major squares while waiting at traffic signals a few months back. Most were also left confused by the names displayed.
Prakash Najpande, a resident of RBI quarters in Civil Lines, echoed similar views. He said, "The square near my house is known to everyone as 'RBI Quarters chowk'. But a few weeks back, I noticed that NMC has renamed it without giving local residents any information and displayed a board of 'Raja Rani chowk' at the traffic junction."
Coin jingle back in traders' coffers
BHUBANESWAR: It's been back to the days of the barter with currency coins being in short supply in the state capital. Traders paying back in kind with chocolates, matchboxes and other knick knacks, instead of handing over small change, has been a common sight in daily markets of the city, with businessman alluding the practice to the shortage of coins in circulation.
In a bid to help ease the currency jam, Bhubaneswar branch of the Reserve Bank of India, in association with Rajadhani Dainik Haat, Byabasayee Sangha, organised a day-long coin mela at Unit-I market here on Thursday. Such has been the crunch that by the end of the day, bank officials had distributed coins of different denominations worth a whopping Rs 12 lakh, in exchange of currency notes.
"It was a long standing demand of the traders of Unit-I daily market as they have been facing an acute shortage of coins. The shortage was affecting their business. So we decided to organise an exchange programme in the market," said M Soren, treasurer of the bank.
"There was a severe coin crisis in the market, causing problems for both traders and customers. Whenever we were going to exchange notes from the RBI, they were demanding documents and it was not always possible for a poor businessman to go to the bank to bring coins," said Byabasayee Sangha secretary Gyadhar Swain. "We urged the bank authorities to organise an exchange camp inside the market so that genuine traders can get exchange coins. Only members of our sangha were entitled to exchange notes here," Swain said.
"The programme was of a great help for poor traders like us. We were facing a lot of problems due to shortage of coins," said Santosh Sahu, another trader, appreciating the RBI effort.
In a bid to help ease the currency jam, Bhubaneswar branch of the Reserve Bank of India, in association with Rajadhani Dainik Haat, Byabasayee Sangha, organised a day-long coin mela at Unit-I market here on Thursday. Such has been the crunch that by the end of the day, bank officials had distributed coins of different denominations worth a whopping Rs 12 lakh, in exchange of currency notes.
"It was a long standing demand of the traders of Unit-I daily market as they have been facing an acute shortage of coins. The shortage was affecting their business. So we decided to organise an exchange programme in the market," said M Soren, treasurer of the bank.
"There was a severe coin crisis in the market, causing problems for both traders and customers. Whenever we were going to exchange notes from the RBI, they were demanding documents and it was not always possible for a poor businessman to go to the bank to bring coins," said Byabasayee Sangha secretary Gyadhar Swain. "We urged the bank authorities to organise an exchange camp inside the market so that genuine traders can get exchange coins. Only members of our sangha were entitled to exchange notes here," Swain said.
"The programme was of a great help for poor traders like us. We were facing a lot of problems due to shortage of coins," said Santosh Sahu, another trader, appreciating the RBI effort.
TOI
Mirwaiz for Islamic banking in J&K
Srinagar : Hurriyat Conference (M) chairman Mirwaiz Umer Farooq Friday advised J&K Bank authorities to start Islamic banking in the state and take up the issue with Reserve Bank of India. “As J&K is a Muslim majority state and interest is haram in Islam, it is high time that JK Bank should start Islamic banking. When Islamic banking is allowed in places like US, UK and other European countries what is problem if it is started here,” Mirwaiz told a well-attended Friday congregation at the historic Jamia Masjid in Nowhatta. Urging the people to close those accounts where they are being paid interest, the Mirwaiz said, “I appeal to all the Muslims not to take interest as it is prohibited in Islam.”
REPORT OF THE COMMITTEE TO REVIEW THE FACILITIES FOR INDIVIDUALS UNDER FEMA, 1999 - AUGUST 2011
The Committee commenced its work from May 6, 2011 and the then Executive Director and presently Deputy Governor, RBI, Shri H R Khan, addressed the Committee at its first meeting on May 6, 2011. The Committee also had the privilege of interacting and having comprehensive discussions with the then Deputy Governor, Smt. Shyamala Gopinath, Deputy Governor, Shri Anand Sinha, and Executive Director, Shri G Padmanabhan, The Committee is deeply appreciative of insights provided by the top management of the Reserve Bank.......
David Ramanath, former State hockey player passes away
David Ramanath, former Karnataka State hockey player who also played for Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Bangalore, passed away in Illinios, Chicago, USA on 7th August after protracted illness for some months.He was with RBI for 15 years and there after migrated to USA. Karnataka State Hockey Association offered their condolences for his passing away and noted in their press release, "He was a jovial person and endeared himself to one and all." David Ramanath, former Karnataka State hockey player who also played for Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Bangalore, passed away in Illinios, Chicago, USA on 7th August after protracted illness for some months. This info was provided by Karnataka State Hockey Association.
GLOBAL CRISIS - Someone Tripped
“The fiscal deficit and sovereign debt in the US is high, but the real problem is of political decision-making.” Dr Rakesh Mohan, Former RBI Dy Governor
The Good News...
- Unlike 2008, liquidity is not a cause for worry in India
- Inflation to ease if global prices of commodities, crude oil dip
- This should boost domestic demand, stall interest rate hikes
- May hasten reforms process as UPA strives to prop up growth
- Post-2008, India banking more on emerging markets for growth
...And The Not-So-Good
- Uncertainty on how US, EU are going to handle present crisis
- Sluggish growth in Western markets will hit exports
- Bid to fight joblessness may lead to restrictions on IT outsourcing
- Banks, institutions in EU less likely to fund projects overseas
- Uncertain scenario may make investors risk-averse; gold may gain.
There’s one major difference between the scenario now and three years back. Rakesh Mohan, former Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Deputy Governor, points out that in the US, “while the fiscal deficit and sovereign debt is high, it is the breakdown in the political decision-making that is the problem”. There’s no option, really: as in the past, the US government will step in to try solve matters. Generally, there is hope of the US being able to solve its problem in the medium term. With an aging population and social rigidity, Europe is a tougher call. As such, emerging markets cannot depend on demand growth from European markets, or look to EU banks and institutions for funding. Future government initiatives to significantly reduce subsidies for fertilisers, foods, and fuels would be a positive factor,” states Takahira Ogawa, Standard & Poor’s sovereign analyst based in Singapore. Rakesh Mohan sees the government push for a new land acquisition bill as a major positive signal for reforms. Some clearly feel the 2011 crisis could jolt the UPA out of reforms complacency. As they say, that would be a positive outcome.
The Outlook
RBI issues operational guidelines for financial inclusion
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Friday issued operational guidelines for the implementation of a transfer system for servicing low-value accounts and extending banking infrastructure to under-served low income areas. The regulator asked banks to follow the 'one district-many banks-one leader bank' model in villages in which the designated bank under the financial inclusion plan and the fund-transfer system varied. According to guidelines, the state government shall designate the leader bank, in consultation with RBI's regional office and the state-level bankers' committee. The leader bank would secure funds from the state government and arrange to transfer funds through inter-bank transfer to other banks.
BS
RBI survey pegs growth at 7.9%, earnings growth at 12.2% for BSE cos
Forecasters engaged by the Reserve Bank of India have revised their real gross domestic product or GDP growth rate for India downwards to 7.9 per cent for 2011-12 from 8.2 per cent in the last survey. They predict wholesale price inflation to hover around 7 to 7.9 percent. The survey expects corporate earnings growth to slow down considerably to 12.2 percent. The Central government’s fiscal deficit is forecast at 5.3 percent of GDP in 2011-12, revised upwards from the last survey. Projections for agriculture, industry and services growth are 3.5 percent, 7.4 percent and 9.0 percent respectively. For agriculture, there is an upward revision and for Industry and services, there is a downward revision from the previous round. The combined gross fiscal deficit of central and states is placed at 8.0 percent of GDP in 2011-12, revised upwards from 7.6 percent in the last survey. In the light of the tough inflation situation and rising fiscal deficit, interest rates are likely to stay high. The forecasters expect repo rate to be at 8 per cent in end-March 2011-12, revised upwards from 7.25 percent projected in the last survey. For 2011-12, the domestic saving rate is forecast to be 34.2 percent, and the rate of gross domestic capital formation at 35.5 percent, both revised downwards from the previous survey. The rate of gross fixed capital formation is projected to be 30.4 percent, revised downwards from last survey. The forecasters have predicted private final consumption expenditure at current prices to grow at the rate of 16.0 percent, revised marginally upwards from last round. The results of the quarterly Survey of Professional Forecasters on major macroeconomic indicators of short to medium term economic developments was conducted among 30 forecasters covering component-wise detailed forecasts of GDP growth, inflation, savings rate among other factors. The Reserve Bank has been conducting this survey on a quarterly basis from the second quarter ended September 2007. It disseminates the survey results through its website on a regular basis.
Firstpost
RBI needs to get equipped to regulate MFIs: K.C.Chakrabarty
As the government proposes to bring all micro finance institutions (MFIs) under the ambit of the Reserve Bank (RBI), Deputy Governor KC Chakrabarty today said that the central bank needs to get equipped for the regulatory work. “We are not saying that we are not capable,” Chakrabarty said when asked whether RBI is capable to regulate the MFIs, adding, “If we were not equipped we will have to get equipped. If we are not capable, we have to get capable. The issue is that the job has to be done.” However, he did not explain how the RBI needs to be get equipped as the bill has to yet to be approved by the parliament.The draft of The Micro Finance Institutions (Development and Regulation) Bill seeks to make it mandatory for all micro finance institutions to be registered with the Reserve Bank, making it the sector regulator. It proposes to empower RBI to issue directions to MFIs on margin caps, tenure of loans, periodicity of repayment schedules, levy of processing fees, interest and life insurance premium, among others. The earlier Bill of 2007 had sought to regulate only those MFIs not under the ambit of any law. The Bill lapsed as the term of 14th Lok Sabha which expired in 2009. Commenting on the bank's apprehensions about increase in non-performing assets (NPA) in a rising interest rate regime, Chakrabarty said, “When the interest rate is high, probability of NPA always goes up, because the burden goes up.” Speaking on RBI's role to curb inflation, he said, “Immediately we are looking at bringing down the inflation at 6-7 per cent. Our medium term projection is 4-5 per cent but on a longer term it should come down to anywhere between 3-4 per cent.” The WPI level had reached 9.44 per cent in June 2011. Chakraborty also hinted at the probability of another rate hike in September. “Probability of another rate hike is always there,” he added.
BS
RBI says not equipped to regulate MFIs
KOLKATA: Reserve Bank of India said it is not capable of regulating microfinance institutions (MFIs) and it needs to get equipped to do the job. The draft Micro Financial Sector (Development & Regulation) Bill, 2011, said RBI will regulate the MFIs and will enjoy the power to frame policies for the sector. "We are not saying that we are capable of doing it as of now. But we have to get equipped. This job has to be done and somebody needs to do it," RBI deputy governor KC Chakrabarty said here on Friday. Many believe that the absence of a central regulator for these micro lenders led to their downfall in recent times. Their businesses were growing unhindered without any central regulation, before Andhra Pradesh slapped an ordinance on them to restrict their operation. Since then, MFIs were gasping for capital and banks virtually stopped lending to them as recoveries came to almost to a halt in the state. Banks are still not lending to them freely. "We are not asking banks to give money to them, we are telling banks to give them credit," Chakrabarty said.
ET
Bandhan and Axis Bank to scale-up Hard Core Poor Program to 50,000 families in West Bengal
Axis Bank, an Indian private bank, and Bandhan, a microfinance institution, work together in an initiative called Axis Bank and Bandhan Holistic Assistance (ABHA). ABHA will launch in a ceremony on 13 August 2011 at Rabindra Bhavan, Baruipur, South 24 Parganas. Bandhan was set up with the objective of poverty alleviation and women empowerment through its microfinance activities. It also does development work thought its not for profit entity. The ABHA initiative plans to reach out to 50,000 poorest-of-the-poor families from two poverty-stricken districts, Murshidabad and South 24 Parganas, in West Bengal. The Chief Guest of the ceremony will be Dr. K. C. Chakrabarty, Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) as the Chief Guest. ABHA’s criteria to be considered in its program would be the poor with few or no asset base, highly vulnerable to any shocks and mainly dependent on wage labour. ABHA’s innovative poverty reduction strategy involves a 24-month initiative with promotional and protective elements. The promotional elements include asset creation for entrepreneurial use and livelihood generation, enterprise and confidence-building trainings, and basic financial services. The protective elements include basic health services, consumption support, and individualized hand holding support. Around 27 per cent of the population in West Bengal lives below poverty line. There are about 4,50,000 poor families in Murshidabad and South 24 Parganas.
http://www.microfinancefocus.com/In Gold alone we trust?
As stocks continue to fall on catching the global flu in the aftermath of the US credit-rating downgrade by rating agency Standard and Poor’s (S&P), a quiet debate is gaining currency: is the world returning to the gold standard, 40 years after US President Richard Nixon ended the yellow metal-based exchange rate system? A number of countries have increased the proportion of gold in their reserves over the last few years. India bought itself some glitter two Diwalis ago: the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) purchased 200 tonnes of gold from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The symbolism is inescapable in a country that worships the metal and for a country that pawned its gold to bolster its foreign exchange reserves not too long ago. China has increased its gold holdings from 600 tonnes to 1,050 tonnes in the last few years. At present, China is the world’s second largest gold consuming market after the US. The State of Utah in the US has made gold a legal tender; 13 other states are reportedly considering similar moves, and the Swiss parliament is to hold hearings on a parallel “Gold Franc”. World Bank chief Robert Zoellick has said he feels the time has perhaps come to “consider employing gold as an international reference point.” Are these early signs of return of the “gold standard?” “I think at the present moment, there is no clear alternative to the dollar as a reserve currency,” C Rangarajan, chairman of Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC) and former RBI governor told HT. “There will be no shift from the dollar to other currencies. In an uncertain situation in the past, the safe haven was the US and entities moved into dollar. But now since the dollar itself is under attack, gold becomes the most attractive asset,” Rangarajan said. Experts said the current crisis may lead to the creation of a new international exchange rate system, based on the principles of the orthodox gold standard. “What died on August 15, 1971 wasn’t just the gold standard,” said Dani Rodrik, Rafiq Hariri Professor of International Political Economy at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University and author of the recently-released The Globalisation Paradox. “It was a regime that left significant room for domestic monetary and fiscal policy management underneath a thin veneer of international disciplines and multilateral roles,” Rodrik told Hindustan Times.
Too early to signal change in stance – RBI
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor D. Subbarao said on Friday it was important to bring down inflation to sustain growth and that it was too early to signal a change in monetary stance, suggesting the central bank may not be done with monetary tightening. Speaking to a gathering of bankers in Kathmandu, Subbarao also said that U.S. Federal Reserve's ultra-easy monetary stance has an impact on India in terms of rising commodity prices and capital inflows, and that capital controls had become advisable in some cases. On Tuesday, the Fed decided to keep interest rates at ultra-low levels till mid-2013 and said it would be ready to take further policy measures if economic conditions deteriorate further. The Fed's second quantitative easing which involved $600 billion of bond purchases led to massive capital inflows into emerging markets leading to rise in inflation and asset prices. The RBI's policy has been to keep a lid on debt inflows through various quantitative limits on government bonds and external borrowing by companies. "Capital controls are not only unavoidable but advisable in certain circumstances," he said, adding that India wanted only enough capital flows to bridge its current account deficit. "There are lots of uncertainties. We will take all of them into account while we formulate our response in the mid-quarter policy (Sept 16)," he later told reporters. "It is too early to say that we will change our stance." "Possibly we are sacrificing some growth in the short term, but reducing inflation is necessary to sustain medium-term growth," he said. Headline inflation quickened to 9.44 percent in June, higher than the RBI's estimated 7 percent for end-March 2012. That may keep the central bank's eyes firmly on inflation even as the U.S. ratings downgrade and eurozone debt woes further muddies the global economic outlook. Earlier in the day, Deputy Governor Subir Gokarn also said it was critical to keep inflation low as it could spiral if left unchecked. High inflation in India is driven by commodity prices and domestic demand, he said. The comments from two top central bank officials may dash hopes that the RBI may pause in its tightening cycle, which has seen 11 rate hikes since March 2010, making it one of the most aggressive central bankers in the world. In July, the RBI shocked with a 50 basis point hike, underlying its resolve to fight persistently high inflation which is expected to remain elevated till October. The central bank has been more confident about the economy. India's factory output clocked a stronger-than-expected growth in July, further reinforcing hopes that Asia's third largest economy was still growing robustly, though a tad slower. Gokarn said that the central bank for now was sticking to its 8 percent growth projection for the current fiscal year that began April 1.
Liquidity not under stress, says Subir Gokarn
New Delhi, Aug 12: The upheaval in domestic markets that followed the US economic downgrade notwithstanding, the RBI today said the liquidity in the Indian banking system was not under stress and the central bank was monitoring the situation closely. “We monitored the situation very closely since Monday and we have not seen any stress at this point. The quantum of liquidity is quite within range..,” Dr Subir Gokarn, RBI Deputy Governor, told reporters at a CII event here. Rating agency S&P had on last Friday downgraded the US sovereign rating to AA+, from AAA. Following that the RBI on Monday issued a circular saying that it was taking steps to ensure steady flow of rupee and dollar liquidity in the system to check volatility in the forex market. Stock market fell nearly 3 per cent in two days of volatile trading and rupee weakened to below 45 to a dollar. Dr Gokarn said the inter-bank lending rates or call rates and other money market or market repo rates “have been very stable”. He said over the last few days, the RBI has been monitoring the rupee-dollar movement and emphasised on ensuring steady supply of liquidity into the banking segment. Dr Gokarn, however, said that for the RBI to assess the longer term impact of US downgrade on India would take some time.
HBL
Keeping inflation low is critical, says RBI Deputy Governor
New Delhi: The objective of the Reserve Bank to keep inflation low is critical, Subir Gokarn, a deputy governor at the Reserve Bank of India said on Friday. The RBI has raised rates 11 times since March 2010 to combat high inflation, which quickened to 9.44 percent in June. India’s industrial output growth jumped in June above forecasts, reinforcing expectations the central bank will continue to raise interest rates despite fears of the impact of a fragile global economy.
Firstpost
Will June's IIP revival lead to another RBI rate hike?
Surprise surprise!
Industrial activity has picked up momentum after months of sluggish growth. Economists were expecting a modest 5.5% industrial growth in June. But an 8.8% growth in industrial production baffled the market. Economists say this is an indicator that growth in Asia's third largest economy has not slowed down and that the RBI will continue its fight against inflation reports CNBC-TV18's Gopika Gopakumar. The 3 percentage point recovery was faster than market expectation with growth driven primarily by a smart recovery. Manufacturing showed a 10% year-on-year (YoY) growth in June. A sudden rebound in capital goods was another factor that pulled up the IIP number. Economists say this is an indicator that growth has not slowed down to the extent feared. Sajjid Chinoy, India Economist, JPMorgan said, “We have seen a surge in export growth for the last three months but that hasn't matched up with previous IIP numbers in the last two months. The non-oil imports for the last three months were very strong which means demand is stronger than we think. The third variable is tax collections. We found out today that for the first quarter, excise tax collections are much buoyant than thought.” Electricity and basic goods also contributed to the strong growth in production. Electricity came in at 7.9% as compared to 3.5% in same period last year. Basic goods clocked 7.5% as against 3.7% in same period last year. The icing on the cake, however, was the revision in the May IIP numbers to 5.9% from 5.6% Earlier, economists said that these numbers would only embolden the RBI to hike rates further. Samiran Chakraborty, Regional Head – Research, Standard Chartered India said, “At this point of time, I am still looking at a 25 bps rate hike primarily because commodity prices have not softened fast enough to give comfort to the RBI. Whatever softening has happened, we need to see this as sustaining over a longer time period for the RBI to get comfortable with inflation.” The laggards however were consumer goods which slowed down to 1.6% and mining to 0.6%. Bankers said that another rate hike in this scenario of already slowing consumption can hit growth. Srinivasan Varadarajan, executive director of Axis Bank added, “As rates go higher, the point one needs to remember is that the banking system becomes the only source of liquidity. Non-bank sources of funds become constrained to a large extent. To that extent, credit growth from banks will be the only source of liquidity for corporates and to some extent working capital cycles may get elongated at higher interest rates.” So what can the market expect the RBI to do on September 16? Economists say the RBI’s action will depend on the August and September inflation numbers and also on global commodity prices.
RBI’s tough choice: High inflation or high growth?
Wildly swinging global markets, increasing nervousness about the global economic outlook and a plunge in commodity prices in recent days had led some economists to believe that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) could hold off on raising interest rates any further. But those hopes may have been dashed after the latest set of food inflation data was released on Thursday: food inflation accelerated to 9.9 percent – the highest in three months – from 8.04 percent the previous week. In addition, State Bank of India chairman Pratip Chaudhuri told Business Standard newspaper that he expects the central bank to continue raising policy rates until inflation slides to 7 percent. SBI is frequently considered as a proxy of the RBI by market experts. There is little doubt the central bank is being pulled in opposite directions right now: on the one hand, inflation refuses to decline, which is forcing the bank to keep interest rates high; while on the other hand, the economy is obviously slowing down, and may not be able to cope with high rates for much longer.
So what will the RBI choose to target? Growth or inflation? According to a Mint report, the RBI’s focus is still likely to remain on controlling inflation. Wholesale inflation was 9.44 percent in June; it is not expected to slow before October. In its quarterly review of monetary policy, the RBI, in fact, raised its inflation estimates, saying that it expected to peak at 9.5 percent before slowing to around 7 percent by March next year. Yet, it cannot ignore that industrial activity has decelerated: in May, the Index of Industrial Production – a gauge of factory output – plunged to 5.9 percent from 20 percent in December last year. Bank credit also dipped to 18.5 percent (annual basis) in the fortnight ending July 29, from 19 percent the fortnight before. The RBI has raised its key policy rate 11 times since March 2010 in a bid to clamp down on rising fuel and food prices. Yet inflation remains dangerously close to double-digits. In recent days, the rout in global equities and commodity prices, especially crude oil prices, have raised expectations that the bank could decided to pause on its rate hikes. The belief is that lower commodity prices will help in doing what the RBI’s rate hikes could not do so far — lower inflation. It’s a logical argument, but the key question is how long commodity prices will stay subdued. At the moment, a global slowdown and a commitment by the US Federal Reserve to keep interest rates near-zero levels until mid-2013 seem to tilt the odds in favour of lower commodity prices – and lower overall prices. But not everybody agrees with that assessment. “For India, domestic dynamics have always been more important than the global situation,” Bank of Baroda chief economist Rupa Rege Nitsure told Mint.
“Inflation is not going to come down before October and RBI cannot afford to exercise a pause in rate hikes unless the global economy ‘goes for a toss’. The government may take advantage of a slowdown in crude prices and introduce reforms like freeing up of oil prices from subsidies. This will be easier done in a lower crude price scenario, but that does not correct inflation in its present form.” Indeed, if central bank governor D Subbarao decides to call time on hiking interest rates and inflation does not fall as expected, he is likely to come in for some more criticism for not doing enough to tame prices. An RBI survey released on Thursday said urban households expected inflationary pressures to continue until June 2013, and that food prices might not come down.
The conclusion:
It’s too soon to say that D Subbarao will not hike interest rates in the near future. Right now, he – like everyone else – will just have to wait and watch to see how the global economy turns out before making a decision.
Firstpost
Low Inflation Necessary to Sustain Growth: Subbarao
Kathmandu : Reserve Bank of India Governor D Subbarao today said low inflation is necessary to sustain growth and a certain level of regulation is needed to rescue the Indian economy from the current global financial turmoil. Delivering a lecture, 'Global Financial Crisis and Lessons Learnt by India", at Nepal Rastra Bank, he underlined the need to bring down inflation and inflationary expectations to sustain growth. Subbarao also said deregulation alone is not sufficient to maintain a sound economy and a certain level of regulation is necessary for rescuing the economy from the current financial crisis. RBI Governor's comments come against the backdrop of the central bank's fight against inflation, which was 9.44 per cent in June. Besides, food inflation for the week ended July 30 shot up to 9.9 per cent sparking investor fears of another round of monetary tightening, which will further push up interest rates impacting growth. RBI has hiked its lending and borrowing rates 11 times since March last year in a bid to curb consumer spending to tame the rate of price rise. However, high interest rates have increased borrowing costs for the industry crimping corporate margins and fanning fears of a slowdown in economy's expansion. Subbarao met Governor of Nepal Rastra Bank, the central bank of Nepal, Yuvaraj Khatiwada and shared his experience regarding the current global financial crisis with senior bank officials of Nepal. Subbarao is here on a two day visit to Nepal at the invitation of NRB Governor Khatiwada.
The Outlook
Volatile production data sends confusing signals
Contrary to ground-level signals that the Indian economy is slowing, the government data continues to show robust numbers, sending confusing signals to policymakers as well as analysts.....
RBI likely to hike rates in September
Factory output in June grew 8.8 per cent over the corresponding period last year, outstripping the consensus growth rate of 5.5 per cent forecast by 23 economists polled by Bloomberg. This sets the stage for another round of interest increase by Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in September...........
RBI mulls another round of rate hike
Kolkata : The Reserve Bank on Friday said the option of going for another round of rate hike at its next mid-quarterly policy review in September do exist as inflationary pressure continues in the economy. "Probability is always there," RBI Deputy Governor K C Chakrabarty said when asked whether another rate hike was possible as inflation is still ruling over 9 per cent. He was speaking on the sidelines of the diamond jubilee celebration of the Reserve Bank employees' sports club. Chakrabarty said the short-term target is to bring down headline inflation to 6-7 per cent and further ease it to 3-4 per cent in the medium-to-long term. When asked if the RBI is equipped to supervise micro finance sector if asked by the government, he said, "If we are not equipped, then we have to improve our capacity (to do so). Let the bill be first approved". On banks not giving loans to the MFI sector, Chakrabarty said, "We cannot force them but we are asking them".
NDTV Profit
Rate hike pause tied to inflation
Kolkata, Aug. 12: Dr K. C. Chakrabarty, Deputy Governor, RBI, said that high interest rates might lead to a rise in non-performing assets (NPAs). “If interest rates inch up then the probability of assets turning bad increases as the repayment burden goes up,” he said, while speaking to newspersons on the sidelines of the diamond jubilee celebration of RBI employees' sports club here on Friday. Replying to a query about the possibility of further rate hikes, he said: “Hiking rates will stop when the inflation comes down.” The RBI would be comfortable with a near-term inflation of 6-7 per cent, while in the medium and long term it would want inflation to trickle down to 4-5 per cent and 3-4 per cent, respectively. The RBI would equip itself to regulate the microfinance institutions if required. “The draft MFI Bill has to be approved by Parliament and, if the Government wants us to regulate MFIs, we will do so. If we are not equipped, then we will have to equip ourselves,” he explained.
HBL
Right time for RBI to cut interest rates: FICCI
Considering the economic turmoil following the downgrading of the US debt by S&P, the Reserve Bank of India should "boldly" cut its interest rates to give the nation's economy the necessary stimulus and protect it from the adverse effects of the external factors, said an industry body on Thursday. "The situation is now ripe for the apex bank to go for a rate cut and put an end to the interest rate hike cycle," the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) said in a press statement, pointing out that the relentless hike in interest rates has resulted in sharp slowdown in industrial growth, dip in investment intentions and a clear softening of bank credit growth. It added that reduced commodity price due to the S&P downgrade of the US credit rating and the possibility of a double dip-recession accompanied with anemic growth in Europe and Japan will reduce pressure on domestic prices. The trend of declining commodity prices (excluding metals like gold and silver) since the rating downgrade also augurs well for a RBI rate cut, FICCI feels. The Reuters-Jefferies CRB commodities index is now at an 8 month low on global growth fears, perfect foil for a RBI rate cut, it added. The RBI may be further emboldened by the US Federal Reserve's stance of keeping the interest rates unchanged at exceptionally low levels (0-0.25%) at least through mid-2013, FICCI said. "After all, India could use the current global economic turmoil to its own advantage, just at it withstood the perils of 2008 crisis," the industry body viewed, adding that a cut in interest rates at this juncture would also boost corporate India's confidence, which has taken a hit as reflected in recent rounds of FICCI’s Business Confidence Survey. FICCI also emphasised that the government needs to implement the next phase of structural reforms, without which investment sentiment will not improve and an opportunity will be missed.
SME Times
3 banks under ED scanner for laundering
NEW DELHI: Government sleuths have zeroed in on massive cash deposits, running into around Rs 1,000 crore, in the Delhi branches of three large private banks - ICICI, HDFC and Axis Bank. The Enforcement Directorate is probing why the banks didn't alert authorities about huge cash deposits made by an accused who allegedly laundered more than Rs 1,000 crore to a third country in less than a year. Sources said ED was likely to question the bankers about the deposits. As per the KYC (know your customer) guidelines issued by the RBI, it is mandatory for the banks to report all large cash transaction every month.
TOI
FSDC to meet on Aug 16 to take stock of global uncertainty
NEW DELHI: Amid global uncertainty triggered by the downgrade of the US, a Financial Stability and Development Council sub-committee headed by RBI Governor D Subbarao will meet in Mumbai on Tuesday to take stock of the situation and suggest steps to deal with the problem. "We will discuss issues including review of financial stability, infrastructure debt funds, repo in corporate bonds, conflict of interest in distribution of financial products, financial literacy and financial inclusion by banks," a Finance Ministry official said. The Financial Stability Development Council, or FSDC, is an umbrella organisation of all financial sector regulators in the country and is headed by Finance Minister. The FSDC, which was set up by the government to deal with inter-regulatory issues, has a sub-committee with the Reserve Bank Governor as its chairman. The third meeting of the sub-committee assumes significance as it is being held in the backdrop of the global crisis, which was aggravated by downgrade of the sovereign credit rating of the US to AA+ from AAA by Standard and Poor's last week. The panic triggered by the downgrade led to stocks across the world getting battered, as fears of a recession on the lines of the one that occurred in 2008 gripped investors. Following the downgrade, the RBI came out with a press statement to assure the investors that adequate liquidity would be made available in the forex market to deal with any shortages. Finance Minister Mukherjee, too, had said there was no need to press the panic button, though he admitted the downgrade will impact some sectors, especially the IT industry. The downgrade sent markets all over the world, including India, into a tizzy. The Bombay Stock Exchange Sensex tanked by 700 points on Monday, though it recovered later.
ET
Friday, August 12, 2011
RBI's real assets
Your feature “Ten heads’ five years in office” (August 10) was innovative and interesting. But as someone who served the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) under 13 governors from C D Deshmukh to Manmohan Singh, I feel the things for which these 10 men can be most remembered have not been rightly perceived in many cases, and more particularly in the case of C D Deshmukh. Sir Chintaman’s regime in RBI can be remembered for numerous things, among which the Bank’s transition from private to public ownership would not rank very high. In fact, he is known for his opposition to RBI’s nationalisation that occurred in spite of him towards the tail end of his monumental innings. And it made no difference at all to the Bank’s day- to-day working. Much higher in the list would come his stewardship of the Bank during the crucial war years, his creation of RBI’s research department that emerged, within a short time, as the country’s premier laboratory of economic research, his role at the Bretton Woods Conference resulting in India becoming a prominent member of World Bank and IMF even before it became independent, his handling of negotiations with Britain for repatriation of the Sterling Debt (which became the main source of finance for India’s development in the initial years following independence) and the delicate task of heading RBI as the central bank of both India and Pakistan for many months with the two countries at war with each other. Yet at the top of the list of Deshmukh’s achievements, I would place his laying the foundations of a strong banking and financial system in the country that has saved it from disaster some 60 years after he left RBI.
The Indian banking system was in a shambles during the World War II, with numerous ill-managed institutions mushrooming, none of them empowered to protect depositors’ interests. There was no law to regulate and control their functioning. Then there was the situation created by Partition, with banks based in Pakistan shifting to India, leaving their assets behind and depositors migrating to India and making demands on them here. Brick by brick he remedied the situation, starting with Ordinances and culminating in the framing of the Banking Regulation Act, which created the system of licensing, inspection and control of banks by RBI. The Bill was piloted in Parliament with one of his chosen officers nominated as a member of the House for the purpose. As a result, bank failures in India became, more or less, a thing of the past. Today, while the banking system all over the Western world is shaking, in India it is causing no concern. Interestingly, many years after Deshmukh left RBI in 1949, it was he who was called upon in 1970 to chair the committee for drafting RBI’s history.
Another formidable governor who is not on the list, as his term exceeded five years, was Benegal Rama Rau (1949-57), who created history by resigning because RBI’s autonomy was being encroached on by an aggressive finance minister. Incidentally, S Jagannathan was not from Audit service; he was from the Indian Civil Service (Bihar cadre).
R C Mody, New Delhi (BS)
25 P OUT, RS 1,000 COIN IN?
An example of how penny- wise and pound- foolish UPA government handles corruption
Lawmakers can be pennywise, pound- foolish. On Thursday, even as members in Parliament were wallowing in nostalgia about withdrawal of 25 paise coins ( chawani), the Rajya Sabha gave its nod to a legislation that permits the government to mint coins of Rs 1,000 denomination. The move is sure to stir a hornet's nest with activists like Baba Ramdev demanding a ban on high denomination currencies to curb corruption. The entire rationale for denominatisation has been that high denomination notes facilitate illicit transfer of money, activists point out. Gujarat Chief Minister Narendra Modi had some time back ridiculed the Centre's decision to put 25 paise coins out of circulation and wondered whether this was the Congress government's " strong step" to unearth black money! He had added that just when people were backing Baba Ramdev's demand for demonetisation of thousand rupee notes, which was the only way to unearth black money, the Centre has responded by spiking the 25 paise coins. Though Pranab Mukherjee did not say when the Rs 1,000 denomination coins could be introduced, he indicated that the move is intended to check the menace of spurious notes.
FPJ
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