Friday, December 17, 2010

RBI opts for growth over inflation for now

RBI kept key policy rates unchanged on Thursday, signalling that maintaining growth momentum was a priority while taking steps to infuse close to 50,000 crore of liquidity. This will ease pressure on banks to raise rates both on lending and deposits in the near term.  However, going by the hawkish tone of the mid-term policy review statement, the bond market is now bracing for a rise in interest rates in January when the next review is due. RBI has raised rates six times this year to fight inflation, and has warned that risk to its 5.5% inflation estimate in March is on the upside.   The mid-term review appeared to be more of a fire-fighting measure with attempts to pump money into the banking system, which saw a record deficit of 1.44 lakh crore as reflected in bank borrowings from RBI on Thursday. According to the apex bank, the deficit was making it tough for the banking system to sustain credit delivery.   RBI said although the liquidity crunch has helped achieve its objective by getting banks to raise rates, the shortfall was way outside its comfort zone.

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