Thursday, April 11, 2013

Where do we go.. if failure to Reform the Regulators themselves.. ?


 Swedish Magnus Lind, an internationally reputed scholar & closely connected with me- in international fora-, is the Chair & Founder of the Global Treasury Peer Network as also the central banking policy expert. A great & credible commentator, who writes as under :
" Evidence worldwide shows that catastrophes like the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the explosion of the Deepwater Horizon oil rig in the Gulf of Mexico, the meltdowns at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant in Japan, and the fatal grounding of the cruise ship Costa Concordia in Italy come not from a lack of laws and regulations, but from deliberate non-enforcement of the laws and regulations that already exist.  Parties that are deemed “too big to fail” (or “too big to jail”) feel free to continue with illegal practices up until the point that a disaster occurs.  The root cause the regulators’ nonfeasance is clearly “regulatory capture”: the regulators are protecting the industry instead of policing it.  The response to this by lawmakers has been not to fire or jail inefficient regulators, but to add new and more onerous regulations.
Other examples include the ECB being managed by governors having had the bank supervisory responsibilities in the home countries at time of the crisis and now they are supposed to become the bank supervisor of the whole of the EU. What ensures they will succeed this time? Yet another example is the constant meat scandals, beef lasagne contains horse meat instead. Why did all the food supervisors not discover it a long time ago? Since many more examples of meet fraud have surfaced. It’s quite clear that supervisors were sleeping on the post.

Does hiring more regulators and supervisors really add any value? How come they are not being scrutinized for their failures? Maybe it’s because they are civil servants and don’t have any personal responsibility? Political governance does not at all reach the same standards as corporate governance. Far from. Effectively any political administration can bankrupt any country and live happily ever after. There is no transparency where the tax payers’ money is spent. There is no percussion for financial crime in the political world. Genocide is the only thing an administration should avoid. That may lead to a conviction in The Hague. But impoverish a whole nation and putting the global financial system at risk is ok. The Basel framework encourages speculation in sovereign risk! We should acknowledge the largest financial crashes are caused by political failure. But, the Govts. & Regulators are keen to spread the notion that politics is low risk. "

Although my colleague, Magnus Lind has been forthright and highly critical of Law Enforcement agencies and Regulators of mainly G 7, the more Advanced Nations, I do believe  that the quality and role definitions as also the performances of Law Enforcement Agencies and Regulatory Bodies in all other geo-political jurisdictions, should not be measured with the same set of yardsticks and parameters but aligned suitably to meet with domestic ground realities. However, none of them can escape their mandated responsibilities.. !! 

In this context, we do come across in our country, Bharat, time and again in periodic succession disturbing instances of failure to detect, arrest or prevent some major scams- economic or pure financial crimes due to lack of oversight by the Govt machinery and or Regulators concerned. In majority of frauds and scams of mind-boggling proportions, they are assigned and labelled conveniently 'Systemic'. Frequent occurrences cannot go under the umbrage as purely systemic ones. Then, what name one would categorise & assign to rare earthquakes, flash floods, tsunamis, inter-galactical flares (solar ones are common & routine..!), 9/11, 26/11 terrorist attacks, etc. Super-systemic.. ? We will be fooling ourselves but end up in ceaseless miseries. We are already in. not out of such disaters.

TRAI failed .. 2G surfaced, Let us leave out the past ones like Harshad Mehtha centered scam. or many other similar ones. Recent cases of MF sector crisis, Drought relief and loan waiver scam, KYC related huge 'cash depositing’ scam are not to be swept under the carpet easily. Compliance and internal control failures were wide spread and not to be treated as a summer temporary skin eruption in a finger. Such trends have been rampant, given the nature of Indian polity, loose morals followed by a large segment of the society and tax evaders. I dont slap my criticism on just present day rulers or regulators. All those involved in the past two to three decades and all governing political parties in the Centre or in the States as also Regulatory failures have to be reckoned on this score. I agree that the Regulators in India, especially RBI, and to a lesser extent, SEBI or infant IRDA (who have little or insignificant presence) have acquitted themselves with great aplomb and accomplishments and especially in the recent past, despite the onslaught of global crisis. The crisis, which broke out in US financial sector, took multi-dimensions, has battered and ruined many other jurisdictions beyond repairs since 2007. In all fairness, G 7 nations are the cause for global ruins. Regulatory nexus or failures are empirically established and codified now. They are in the public domain.

RBI singularly has come in for unbiased praise and is 'talked about' or cited as the merited example. Globally, wherever I visited and participated in international conferences, and other meets or as part of business promotion or academic related visits, good words of praise coming from the region's highest quarters, were ringing as sweet melody to my ears as Ex-RBI man. But, I do hear not comforting feedback from the captains of industry & commerce or the unwary common public at large across the length and the breadth of this sprawling nation that, despite technological advances and modernisation of Indian banking, customer service is far from satisfactory in many respects. They  do say, RBI is sitting in the ivory tower and their supervisory oversight is 'Global' at just Macro levels and totally out-dated. They neither have the time, machinery or resources to look into nano events at retail ordinary customer points. RBI has steadily over the decades, withdrawn itself from micro inspections but graduated to Inspection more of very large branches and corporate Office. Ordinary common public have nothing to do with large branches and corporate office.

RBI inspection reports still seem to reflect the much abused phrase, " leave much scope for improvement", whatever worth it has, when taken to the Members of the Supervisory Board. Frankly speaking, the eyes and ears of RBI have to be sharply fine-tuned. CAMELS and GOATS are good carriage medium but modern 'Risky' environs under globalisation and the instant impacts of technologically & digitally connected coupling and decoupling of Markets beset with dangerous covert weaknesses, call for radical and more innovative departures.

Training of human resources 'leaves great scope for improvement'. Routine pep up inputs are just not enough to face massive tsunami like disasters. RBi needs to relook inwardly at the highest levels on its oversight functions. Regulations are not enough. Compliance and in right spirits in banks, are required to be dug out carefully with eagle’s eyes. One major area of concern, Corporate Governance, especially in private sector banks, which is highly opaque but critically talked about within well-informed circles, has not been seemingly 'adequately addressed'. Red signals are visible and aired in the public media and by whistle-blowers. External interference apart and the lacking sharp supervisory tools as also the right fearless attitudes to swift cheese from the chalk, appear to be the hurdles to detect 'conflict of interest and nexus' syndromes. The tip of the iceburg is visible but collapse may not be far off, if stringent steps in supervisory frameworks are not addressed with focus & attention required thereof.
Everyone knows the squares, angles, corners and invisible needles,.. !!

Camels & Goats are also fodders for gullible & crooks..
chameaux et les chèvres sont fourrage pour les crédules

I have activated the sirens.. Is any one in the right quarters listening..
May be, but the train has to be sighted.. Sometimes will..

With Love, only Love and Love ever

German ‘Prof.Subramanian, the Global Consultant’ Subbu

Retd. RBI Senior Executive - (+91 9845809857) 

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