Hat-trick opportunity

..............Lacklustre economic growth is at least bringing the benefit of a decisive retreat in cyclical inflationary pressure, evidence of which has continued to accrue since RBI’s last policy review. Headline wholesale-price inflation slowed to below 6% in March while RBI’s preferred gauge of underlying inflation pressure—non-food manufactured goods prices—decelerated to 3.4%, its lowest reading since February 2010. With little prospect of a decisive re-acceleration in economic growth for at least several quarters, “core” inflation should continue to subside through the rest of the year as the economy continues to operate below potential. RBI’s “core” gauge could realistically retreat to below 2% by the year-end..........

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