This
refers to ‘Trilemma that Felled Guv’ (ET, Aug 14). It is true that high fiscal
deficits and structural rigidities tend to reduce the effectiveness of monetary
policy as a stabilisation tool in an open economy. But, in the Indian context,
monetary policy is no less consequential than fiscal policy in affecting
investment decisions. In fact, in an open economy, policy lags are normally
much shorter for monetary policy than fiscal policy. Thus, interest rate
changes may produce a quicker impact on investment than, say, a change in tax
policies. India’s current economic slowdown has resulted primarily from “The
Great Policy Paralysis”, slow
administrative decision making and a sustained hike in interest rates
culminating in creating a poor
business environment, hurting investment and growth. A slow-growing global
economy has not helped us either. To absolve Dr Subbarao by saying that he was
left with no option but to fight inflation and that he could not have focused
on growth simultaneously is a little hard to digest. His fault lay in pressing
the interest rate pedal for far too long than was required.
- MANISH
KUMAR, Patna (ET)
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