Friday, October 25, 2013

Fighting inflation: then and now

...... it would be risky for RBI to base its monetary response upon the new CPI, whose linkages with other macroeconomic variables are not yet understood and when growth was as weak as 4.1% two quarters ago. The vast difference in the two inflation indicators vis-à-vis the wider economic conditions suggest caution at this point. Understandably, the central bank is chary and anxious to restore its inflation fighting credentials; it would rather err on the side of over-tightening than be lax second time round. History suggests that this time it is different.

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