......A halt at this level will mean that the rupee could remain in the band between 57 and 70 for a few years as it consolidates. But such a move will keep open the possibility of a move below 70 over the long term. The RBI has also made it clear that it does not want to ward off rupee depreciation. It is only volatile movements, with depreciation happening over a short period, which it wants to avoid. If the rupee gets past the hurdle at 57, the next resistances are at 54 and then 52. We do not envisage a move above 52, even if copious inflows enter the country. ......
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