Friday, March 25, 2011

Central banker’s primer for the aam aadmi

In the entire history of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), there have been only two or three economists who rose to become Deputy Governors in charge of monetary policy. Savak Tarapore is one of them. His long and distinguished career at the RBI, including a stint at the International Monetary Fund in the late 1970s, culminated in his being appointed to DG in 1992. He was at the helm, or at least in the control room, during much of the tumult of those times. The emergency air-lift of gold as collateral, the steep devaluation of the rupee, interest rate deregulation, moving to market determined rates for government borrowing, the aftermath of the Harshad Mehta scam are all part of some of the battle scars he wears. He wears them lightly though, and he has always played a stolid and subdued, second fiddle role to many bosses. His sterling innings has been called a Gundappa Vishwanath role by RBI’s historian T CA Srinivasa Raghavan.  Tarapore remained active even after retirement, heading two crucial committees on capital account convertibility and a member of the Technical Advisory Committee. He has been a prolific writer, columnist and commentator. However, his most distinguishing quality has been his concern for the aam aadmi ,the ordinary bank customer, the depositor or small borrower. This is best reflected in his unhesitatingly hawkish stand on inflation, or support for increasing the deposit rate, or campaign for a gold bank.  Tarapore’s new book speaks directly to the common man. It is acompilation of 70 short articles, written over a three year period between 2006 and 2009, for a Gujarati newspaper. Its language is non-technical, free of jargon, completely free of ambivalence (the bane of many economists), and it contains practical advice too. Even though the writing was part of a fortnightly column, and hence necessarily topical, there is an Aesop’s Fables quality to the short chapters. Tarapore’s insight and opinion on many matters, both monetary and otherwise, are nicely supported by tidbits from history. For example, he reminds us that relations between RBI and North Block weren’t always adversarial. It was Pranab Mukherjee who brilliantly defended the RBI governor in Parliament in 1982. Tarapore writes, “The proceedings of the debate should be mandatory reading for all who have interest in monetary policy. Following 1996, there is breakdown in the bonhomie between RBI and the North Block.” His defence of RBI against what he calls “illinformed attacks” might sound partisan, but is well substantiated. In fact, he has himself been a severe critic of the RBI’s less than proactive treatment of inflation control. The writings from 2008 warn about impending crisis, and are testimony to Tarapore’s prescience and understanding. He wrote in January 2008, that subprime crisis was more serious than portrayed then, and he warns that “there are large non-performing assets in the Indian financial system, which no one is keen to acknowledge.” Similarly, almost five years ago in 2006 he warned about the excesses of the micro-finance institutions, and possible human rights abuses, in coercive recoveries. It was only after micro-loan related suicides in 2010 that Andhra Pradesh passed a harsh ordinance that has paralysed the entire industry. If only the bad apples had been isolated in 2006, we wouldn’t have had the Black Swan of microfinance today.  One of the most abiding themes in the book is Tarapore’s canvassing of the common man’s predicament. He writes in Chapter 9, “It is unconscionable not to raise the savings bank deposit rate”. The suppressing and nonderegulation of the savings rate continues to be a cruel joke on small depositors. Tarapore was instrumental in setting up the watchdog body for banking services. Here, too, he laments that despite introduction of no frills accounts, the customers are at the mercy of banks. He says, “The sad fact is that most customers are afraid to complain”. The procedures for “Know your customer” (KYC) have become a licence to kill the customer! (He has an interesting anecdote about mutual funds too).  The book is divided into eight parts, with the first three focused on monetary and fiscal policy, the next on the small saver, followed by two on macro issues, a special section on gold and a last section on general policy issues. There is an interesting chapter on India’s pulses problem, which today is spoken of as the protein inflation problem by RBI.  The beauty of Tarapore’s book is that it is possible to read the book non-sequentially or only one section at a time. The non-technical and light treatment masks much deeper understanding and passion for larger policy issues. It stands as adouble ton in ‘Gundappa Vishwanath’s’ career.
FINANCIAL POLICIES AND EVERYDAY LIFE (THE INDIAN CONTEXT) - Book Review by Ajit Ranade

RBI to address Manipur's small denomination

IMPHAL: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has promised to resolve the acute shortage of small denomination and coins in Manipur. The state's economy has been hit by the crisis and people have to settle for chewing gums or match boxes in return for an amount between Re 1 to Rs 5. It is also not difficult to find women coin vendors' selling coins at places like Khwairamband Bazaar in Imphal.  RBI Executive Director D.K.Mohanty took note of the issue at a press meet at Ukhrul town on Monday and said he would take steps to ensure the smaller denomination shortage gripping Manipur was resolved.  Mohanty added that since the coins were flown into the state, efforts would be made to increase the number of flights so that the crisis is dealt with. The RBI Executive Director was speaking at a financial outreach camp organized by the bank at Ukhrul. With the primary target to expand banking facilities in the northeast, RBI, which has its office in Guwahati, has planned to set up a unit in Agartala, Mohanty said.

Non-food inflation reversal is a big concern: Subir Gokarn

Indian market has witnessed high volatility since a long time on rising crude oil prices and mounting inflation.  Most analysts feel that oil rates and inflation numbers are going to make it difficult for an emerging market like India to mark better-than-expected growth despite scoring higher on the GDP scale. In the opinion of the RBI deputy governor Subir Gokarn, rising crude prices have created more risks for the global economy besides inflation, which is hampering growth to a greater extent, reports CNBC-TV18 quoting Dow Jones. Gokarn is most concerned about non-food inflation reversal and sees investment momentum dipping down, which is again a worrisome matter. He said that he is trying to do a balancing act between growth and inflation and has been successful in not disrupting growth prospects so far. However, he added that there is a need to be watchful on monetary stance. “We can’t be insensitive to global and domestic growth risks,” he added.

Letters: RBI's misplaced concern

This refers to the report “RBI slams banks for LAF misuse” by Manojit Saha (March 21). It is surprising to read that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has now expressed displeasure at the fact that some banks are borrowing under the Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF), on-lending the funds to other banks and earning a spread as a result. LAF, as has been rightly observed, is a secured facility available to banks for borrowing against surplus government securities in their portfolio and is not unsecured call money. Since there may be banks with inadequate surplus government securities to pledge with RBI and borrow directly, there was nothing sinister in surplus banks lending to them from LAF-borrowed funds. This way liquidity is managed in the system without much volatility in the call rates. This has been discussed with senior RBI officials in the past and the bank’s treasury officials have been clearly given to understand that it was perfectly in order for banks to lend to other entities from LAF-borrowed funds. RBI should not keep changing its stand, since it may aggravate volatility in the overnight money market. -               S Ravindranath, Coimbatore

Inflation set to breach RBI’s 8% goal for fiscal

RBI Penalizes Gujarat Co-operative Bank for Violating Anti-Money Laundering Guidelines

Mumbai (ABC Live):The Reserve Bank of India has imposed a monetary penalty of 1.00 lakh (on The Uttarsands People Co-operative Bank Limited, Uttarsanda, Dist. Kheda, Gujarat, in exercise of powers vested in it under the provisions of Section 47(A)(1)(b) read with Section 46(4) of the Banking Regulation Act, 1949 (AACS) for violation of Reserve Bank of India's guidelines of requirement of reporting of cash transactions in excess of ` 10.00 lakh to Financial Intelligence Unit-India (FIU-IND), as required under Anti-Money Laundering (AML) guidelines. Information to this effect was made by Ajit Prasad, Assistant General Manager, RBI through Press Release: 2010-2011/1358. The Reserve Bank of India had issued a show cause notice to the bank, in response to which the bank submitted a written reply. After considering the facts of the case and the bank's reply in the matter, the Reserve Bank came to the conclusion that the violations were substantiated and warranted imposition of the penalty.

BANKING M&A TO BE UNDER PURVIEW OF CENTRAL BANK

The government, for now, has sought to put to rest the issue of who is to regulate mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in the banking sector, by conferring the power on the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The Banking Laws (Amendment) Bill, 2011, tabled in the Lok Sabha recently, comes in the wake of pressure from RBI to clarify the matter.  Predictably, the Competition Commission of India (CCI) is not very pleased at this development. While not officially grumbling, officials in CCI say if monitoring powers over banks’ M&A are taken away from the competition watchdog, there could be similar demand in other sectors.  For the record, a senior CCI official said: “There is no turf war. This is a dynamic situation. Tomorrow, if the government feels CCI should regulate (bank) M&A’s, it can do so.” The Competition Act itself empowers the government to allow such exemptions, he noted. Under the Competition Act, 2002, CCI has the power to regulate combinations (M&A) which cause or are likely to cause an appreciable adverse effect on competition within the relevant market in India. The Act also allows the government to make exceptions in the larger public interest if a particular industrial segment needs to be out of its purview.  The banking Bill proposes to insert a new section, 2A, in the Banking Regulation Act, 1949, to exempt mergers of banking companies from applicability of the Competition Act.The RBI had expressed reservations about putting bank M&A under the purview of the CCI. It felt any other watchdog would not be able to appreciate the complexities in banks’ mergers. Though the Competition Act was passed in 2002, CCI became functional only in May 2009. It had notified rules relating to mergers only recently. This is the third major occasion where the government has tried to address RBI reservations on regulatory issues.  After a spat between the regulators for the capital markets and the insurance sector on unit-linked products, the Union finance ministry had decided on an oversight panel chaired by the finance minister.  After RBI resisted, the central bank governor was made vice-chairman of the mechanism. There were similar RBI objections to the proposal for aFinancial Stability and Development Council. It was decided to have one sub-committee of the Council, to be chaired by the RBI chief.  The opposition from RBI was because it used to chair the coordination committee between financial sector regulators and these decisions by the finance ministry diluted its earlier role. The banking laws amendment bill also proposes to empower RBI to call for information and returns from associate enterprises of banking companies and to inspect these, if necessary. This may lead to a turf war, if these associate enterprises fall in other regulators’ domain, analysts said.  RBI had expressed reservations about putting bank M&A under the purview of the CCI.

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