In less than two months from now, Duuvri Subbarao, Governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will demit office. The silence of the government over what intends to do - whether his term would be extended or whether it would opt for a new incumbent to don the mantle of responsibility at the central bank- even at this late hour only serves to add to the suspense. In this milieu, rumours are rife that the choice may fall on an outsider. All this shows the official decision-making process in a very poor light. It is, therefore, all to the good that three former governors of the RBI — C Rangarajan, Bimal Jalan and Y V Reddy — have interceded with the Prime Minister Manmohan Singh — who had also worked in this capacity — not to disrupt the present arrangement for the sake of stability and continuity of policy. An extension for Subbarao would therefore be a step in the right direction. Far from lobbying, their intention was that discretionary powers in appointments to posts like these should be exercised with caution, especially in the current environment. Certainly, their timing is right as the department of financial services has prepared an internal note seeking the nod of the finance minister for setting up a search committee. It is common knowledge that the governorship of RBI will fall vacant in the first week of September and yet the department woke up to the fact only now. This apart, other things being equal, why this hesitancy of the part of the government to do the most logical thing - extend the tenure of Subbarao for another two years. His stewardship of the RBI through troubled times has much to commend itself. He was barely in office for a fortnight when the Lehman Brothers had collapsed, the tsunami-like effect of which was felt across the global financial markets. At home, economy was in serious trouble, with the real GDP growth and industrial growth sharply down while the monthly inflation rate had topped 11%. This crisis lingered through part of 2009 as well. In retrospect, he was equal to the challenges and economy soon rebounded. Of course, inflation is still a problem but RBI has been doing its best to tame this monster by tackling the demand pressures; if success is still elusive, it is because inflation arises from a complex interplay of factors such as global commodity and crude prices and supply-side deficiencies. Of course, the RBI governor had his differences with the government on certain issues, most notably in regard to the establishment of the Financial Stability and Development Council — where both have now arrived at a compromise - and the divestment of the debt management function from the central bank and vesting it with the Centre. But, his dissent was voiced with reasoned arguments and was from free from polemical overtones. From being a top bureaucrat in the finance ministry to the helm of affairs at the central bank, Subbarao made the transition with ease and speed and if his three-year stint proves anything, it is this: the case for his extension is strong. If the government thinks otherwise, let it announce its decision without delay. This is not the way to treat a high functionary. Another point needs underscoring here: for global investors and for the economy itself, long-term regulatory stability is a necessary condition.
DNA