Time is running out for the economy to be put on the growth track: that is the leitmotif of the Reserve Bank of India’s annual report for 2010-11. It’s almost a cry from the heart from the apex bank to the government to get its act together and share the responsibility of taming inflation. The RBI is charged with running the country’s monetary policy and maintaining price stability while making sure there is a flow of credit to keep production and growth moving. It has gone more than three-fourths of the way to maintain price stability but inflation refuses to be cowed down and growth faces hurdles. The RBI had to reduce the GDP growth rate from 8.5 per cent to eight per cent. The government has yet to show that it will take steps to eliminate the supply-side constraints that are fuelling inflation. As the RBI annual report says, growth sustainability over the medium term depends on addressing the structural bottlenecks facing the economy. It spells out at length what needs to be done, namely tackling issues relating to education, health, energy, infrastructure and agricultural sectors. On the stubbornness of food inflation it says there is a need for higher storage capacity for grain, cold storage chains to manage supply-side shocks in perishable items, and augmentation of supply of non-cereal food items. Today the government throws up its hands saying that because a new section of the population is able to eat more there is a shortage in particular of protein foods like pulses, milk, chicken and eggs. The RBI has even set a precedent by spelling out in detail what needs to be done to improve agriculture and food management if the National Food Security Bill is to fulfil its objective of giving 35 kg of wheat and rice per month at `3 per kg to every BPL family. If the Centre implements all that the RBI has detailed, the level of growth could be boosted without fuelling inflation. If inflation is controlled, interest rates will fall and the investment cycle will get its adrenaline. Today investment, both in the government and private sector, has slowed down as India Inc. is finding funding expensive. The RBI also stresses the need to bring down fiscal deficit as this is preventing the government from investing in education and other social imperatives. To give just one example, one pink paper has revealed that there are one million vacancies in government and that one of the reasons is a lack of skilled people. So, as soon as the government gets over the Anna Hazare impasse, it should get down to tackling the supply-side situation with a big dose of political will and the RBI annual report as a to-do guideline.
Deccan Chronicle