Thursday, March 15, 2012

Managing debt : Samir Ghosh, General Secretary, AIRBEA


By suggesting that the proposed Debt Management Office of the government of India will unburden RBI (FE, March 8), Ila Patnaik actually argues for more burden for RBI. Our government has a burgeoning public debt, which shows little inclination to come down, given the government’s current fiscal policy thrust of more and more deficit financing. The government will have to frequently come to the market for more loans, combining fresh loans as well as escalating interest payment. This will result in the interest rate structure of the whole system going awry, as RBI’s interest rate policy as part of the monetary policy will definitely be under strain, for government’s need for large debt and RBI’s need for balanced interest rates will work at cross-purposes. The author should refer to a comment by C Rangarajan that if the public debt management function is taken away from RBI “prematurely”, it would not be wise. As James Tobin said: “There is no neat way to distinguish monetary policy from debt management, [both] the Federal Reserve and the Treasury … are engaged in debt management in the broadest sense, and both have powers to influence the whole spectrum of debt.” 

Samir Ghosh, General Secretary,  All India Reserve Bank Employees Association (FE)

Vijaya Bank in Churachandpur

Lamka, March 14 2012: Director of Institutional Finance T Ranjit today inaugurated Vijaya Bank's fourth branch here at Salem Veng today. RBI Deputy General Manager Margaret, Vijaya Bank's Asst Gen Manager Gregory Lobo and Senior Branch Manager Asish Kumar Das from Guwahati, SP Churachandpur, ED/DRDA and other local officials were among those present on the occasion. Vijaya Bank has 36 branches in North East region and Churachandpur branch is the fourth in Manipur. The new bank branch becomes the sixth in town with SBI running two, while UBI, MSCB and HDFC have one each.

Review Committee Meeting for Banking Development Concludes

.......Prasad Rao, assistant general manager, NABARD, M S Hasan, RBI, Bangalore, Seethamma, project director of DRDA, Takath Rao, project director of district urban development centre, representatives of government departments, and NGOs were present at the meeting. Hemantha Bhide, the lead district chief manager, placed the credit plan before the committee and it was approved on the occasion. He said the plan is in alignment with potential linked plan 2012-13 of NABARD.

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HC stays Nagpur University hiring over blind man's plea

..... Asudani, working with RBI as Class-I officer, pointed out that NU had issued advertisements for lecturers' recruitment three times in five years - on July 13, 2007, March 26, 2008 and August 30, 2011. The petitioner contended that reservation of posts for disabled persons under Sections 32 and 33 were binding on all the establishments but NU disregarded them in letter and spirit while reserving only four posts for physically handicapped persons, that too making it "subject to availability". He took strong objection to this rider terming it as patently illegal and militating against the letter and spirit of law.......

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Citizens have a right to know irregularities in banks from RBI rules CIC

Coming down heavily on the RBI, the chief information commissioner under the RTI Act, said the idea put forward by the central bank that citizens are not mature enough to understand and will panic and harm their own interests, is repugnant to democracy. In what could possibly be a path breaking and a most important decision, Chief Information Commissioner (CIC) Shailesh Gandhi has ruled that citizens have a right to know about the functioning of banks including any regulatory lapses. “If there are irregularities in the functioning of a bank pursuant to which action has been taken by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), citizens certainly have a right to know about the same,” the CIC said in a recent order...............

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Inflation back after a short break

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Commenting on the policy perspective, Nomura Chief Economist Sonal Varma, " Today's data broadly fits in with the expected inflation trajectory in 2012 - i. e., headline inflation remaining in a 6.5- 7.5% range, with lower core inflation and higher food inflation. Most pre- conditions for a rate cut have been met, but we expect the Reserve Bank of India to wait until after the budget before cutting the repo rate in April". Last week, RBI had injected Rs 48,000 crore liquidity by reducing the Cash Reserve Ratio ( CRR) for banks. RBI, which had hiked policy rates several times up to October to tame inflation, has said the government needs to take fiscal steps, like reducing supply bottlenecks and subsidies, to tame price rise.......

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Manappuram promoters to offload 4% stake

.....The board of the company also decided to constitute an independent committee of its members under the chairmanship of Jagdish Capoor, former deputy governor of RBI and former chairman of HDFC Bank, to improve corporate governance practices.

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Will Feb WPI make Subbarao think twice about a rate cut?

Inflation, as represented by the wholesale price index( WPI), has come in at 6.95 percent for February, higher than market estimates. What will this mean for RBI governor D Subbarao’s intent to cut interest rates?
For sure, he will have to keep four things in mind:

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In 2012-13, India's GDP will cross Rs 1 crore crore!

..........The Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC) estimate for GDP in 2012-13, for example, is a little over Rs 1 crore crore. To avoid tangles of this sort, the Government and the RBI have begun expressing aggregates in billions and trillions of rupees.........
 
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RBI likely to leave repo rate unchanged

......An eager wait for a cut in home loan rates is going to get longer as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is likely to leave repo rate (the rate at which banks borrow money from RBI) unchanged in its mid-quarter review of monetary policy on Thursday.........

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After CRR cut, RBI unlikely to change policy rates further

..... “There is immediate need for RBI to shift into aggressive growth supportive stance to address issues arising from fiscal and trade deficit. The need therefore is for RBI to turn its focus away from CRR cuts to trigger rate cut actions,”........

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RBI may cut rates, finally

......While the RBI has all along stated that it would like to see a ‘comfortable' level of inflation before reversing the rate policy, an important turning point came when it finally admitted, in its last review, that the tight policy has possibly started hurting growth.......

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Most economists expect RBI Governor Duvvuri Subbarao to pause, not cut key rates

Reserve Bank of India Governor Duvvuri Subbarao, who has resisted calls for an interest rate cut for months, may persist with his policy on Thursday as he awaits government finances forecast for the next fiscal, and get a handle on inflation, which is rearing its head again. The governor, who looks beyond headline inflation numbers and is critical of the government's finances, may not hurry to cut interest rates in response to slowing economic growth as his worst fear of inflation returning seems to be coming true, say economists...........

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RBI credit policy: See no rate action, says CNBC-TV18 poll

The Reserve Bank of India will announce the mid-quarterly review of its monetary policy.  CNBC-TV18 poll of bankers and economists shows that 70% of the respondents expect a no-action credit policy from the central bank primarily because they expect that the Reserve Bank will want to see one more month.

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Why 2012 could be another year of damage control for RBI

...... For the Reserve Bank of India, 2012 is shaping up as another year of damage control for a populist government’s excesses rather than pursuit of its own priorities of boosting investment and containing inflation.This could leave the economy trapped in an unhealthy confluence of high inflation and slowing growth, with little the RBI could do — other than easing bank funding — to encourage investment or to direct cheaper money to the most stressed parts of India’s supply chain. “It is a mistake to look at the RBI always as a vacuum cleaner for the mess the government makes,” said Rajeev Malik, senior economist at CLSA Singapore. “The government needs to be more accountable.......

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RBI not in favour of relaxing norms on loan restructuring, says government

The government said the Reserve Bank is not in favour of relaxing norms on loan restructuring for any specific sector, including textiles. The Textiles Ministry had submitted a proposal to the RBI in this regard as the industry has been facing difficult times owing to adverse global scenario and demand slowdown in the domestic market.................

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Stubborn prices show no sign of cooling

……The conflicting set of macroeconomic data is only going to make the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) job tougher. While industrial output data shows a slowdown in the investment cycle and industrial activity, headline inflation for February has risen to seven per cent year-on-year (Y-o-Y), mainly driven by higher food prices…….
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RBI credit policy: Central bank stuck in damage control mode

……….For the RBI, 2012 is shaping up as another year of damage control for a populist government's excesses rather than pursuit of its own priorities of boosting investment and containing inflation. This could leave the economy trapped in an unhealthy confluence of high inflation and slowing growth, with little the RBI could do -- other than easing bank funding -- to encourage investment or to direct cheaper money to the most stressed parts of India's supply chain.……………..

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Go slow on mobile wallet

MOBILE TRANSACTIONS: A LOWDOWN
These require you to download an app from the bank’s website
What you are charged
Transactions
Charges
Bill payments
Rs 10
Travel ticket booking amount
1 per cent of transaction (maximum Rs 50)
Movie ticket booking
Free (introductory offer)
Fund transfer to Airtel Money customer
Rs 5 up to Rs 500, Rs 10 thereafter
Fund transfer to a bank account
2 per cent of transaction amount (minimum Rs 10)
Charges applicable only for Airtel Money. Banks charge normal internet/SMS charges
Drawbacks of mobile wallet
  • Security is an issue as softwares can track down passwords
  • Disruption in mobile phone network could interrupt transaction
  • There could be a risk of virus attack
  • Mobile wallet cannot be used at all merchant outlets
  • Merchant outlets charge a percentage of the transaction amount as service charge

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Banking’s Last-Mile Problem - M RAJSHEKHAR

Before committing to the banking correspondent model, we need to thrash out the economics


These are the heydays for the banking correspondent (BC) model. Banks want to use them to extend banking into villages. The government wants to use them to deliver welfare payments. In most cases, these transactions will be routed through BC companies, not directed from banks to village agents. This confidence being reposed in the BC model is a tad premature. Travel down to the field and you see the model struggling. Given the low fees, villagers do not want to become BCs. The outcome? Those seeing other advantages in becoming a BC, like the village sarpanch seeking to reinforce his hegemony over the village, are signing up. There are other problems. BC companies, compelled by hyper-competition, are starting to cut corners in the field while placing agents and terminals. State governments like Andhra Pradesh complain BC companies and banks are delaying payments to earn income on the float. For their part, BC companies say their economics is hamstrung by the banks’ unwillingness to offer products that villagers would find useful, and by the government’s unwillingness to pay for payment delivery. But will the BC model start working smoothly once the payments issue is resolved? Before that question can be answered, banks and the government need to define the level of service that will be provided to those banking with the BCs. How many transactions should they be able to make in a month: one, two or 10? How far should they have to travel to access a BC agent? These standards are undefined right now, and vary from bank to bank, state to state. And as Haryana’s unhappy experience with pension e-payment shows, service standards can be shockingly low. Minutes of a meeting between banks, BCs and the Haryana government say, “The infrastructure deployed by the business correspondent of the banks is grossly inadequate… the average frequency of visit of the BC agent in the village has been once every 90 days and, in some villages, there has been no visit at all in the last six months.” The minutes also mention under-deployment of the point-of-service terminals. In 18 of the state’s 21 districts, they say, under-deployment ranged between –73.9% and –99.9%. This is unacceptable. Partly because the poor should not get a level of banking that is markedly inferior to what you and I get. If your withdrawal from an ATM results in your account getting debited but the machine not disbursing cash, your bank doesn’t tell you to contact the company that manages the ATM. However, most banks treat no-frill-account customers as clients of a BC company. There are other nonnegotiables as well. To ensure the BC agent doesn’t end up with exclusive control over the pipe through which welfare payments flow — the new architecture should be interoperable. Villagers should be able to access their account from any point-of-service terminal — the way we can access our accounts from any ATM. Further, to ensure villagers become BC agents, they need to be paid well. Add up all these costs and only then will we know the real cost of delivery through the BC channel. Now, that cost of delivery needs to be tested against another set of numbers. Today, the government finds BCs attractive because it thinks biometric verification will severely crimp corruption. But what is the quantum of that reduction? Take NREGA. Even if the payment is made through the BC, the employment records are still created by the sarpanch. So, corruption will not vanish entirely. At best, ghost workers will be excised from the rolls. Compare this putative reduction with the cost of delivery and we will have the cost:benefit analysis for switching to the BC model. The danger of not doing this due diligence is we might end up with a delivery channel that is expensive and/or fails to deliver welfare benefits to some of the most vulnerable constituents of this country. With elections two years away, that is a possibility UPA-II might want to avoid. Worse, by the time we realise that the new channel doesn’t work, we might have disbanded the old system as well. On the whole, India seems to cycle through financial inclusion models the way teenagers move through fashions: cooperatives, bank nationalisation, RRBs, SHGs, MFIs and BCs. We prematurely pin all our hopes on one model and try to roll it out across the country. Given the diversity that characterises India, it inevitably fails. And then we look for the next silver bullet. The finance ministry is now talking of ultra-small branches in villages which bank staff will visit once a week. And the RBI is thinking of a way to get banks to oversee BC agents, and to use BC companies purely as technology service providers. That is what is underway here as well. Little wonder that every five years, we start wondering how to solve the last-mile problem in Indian banking.

ET

J&K Not Falling into Debt Trap: Minister

.....Giving details about the benefits of newly introduced 'ways and means' system of the RBI, Rather said it has been working very satisfactorily to the advantage of the state, its people and the Jammu and Kashmir Bank. Under this, the State has been able to save interest payment to the extent of about Rs.219 crore so far in the current fiscal.......

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