THIS VOLUME CONTAINS AN ILLUMINATING SNTHESIS OF THE COLLECTED WISDOM ON CRISISRELATED RESEARCH B RECOGNISED LUMINARIES AMONGST ACADEMIA, POLIC- MAKERS AND MARKET PARTICIPANTS – Book Review by P.P.Ramchandran
The RBI celebrated its Platinum Jubilee during 2009- 2010 and as a part of its celebration organized an International Research Conference in Mumbai. The papers and proceedings of the Conference have been brought out in this new book edited by Deputy Governor Subir Gokarn. The theme of the Conference was " Challenges to Central Banking in the context of the Financial Crisis". The inaugural address was given by Governor Subbarao followed by a keynote speech by the Nobel Laureate Andrew Michael Spence of Stanford University; four technical sessions were held and papers were presented and discussed.
There are in all 36 contributors including seven Central Bank Governors and six Deputy Governors and a galaxy of bankers, economists and professors. The volume offers the distilled wisdom of recognised academicians, policy makers and central bankers. It analyses thoroughly, inter alia, problems like monetary policy, debt crisis, exchange rate policies, financial stability imperatives, etc. According to Governor Subbarao, who effectively poses the problems, there are five key challenges to all central banks. The first one is managing national monetary policy decisions in a globalised environment. The second is redefining the mandate of the central bank in the context of inflation targeting and asset prices. The third challenge is central bank responsibility to maintain financial stability.The fourth is the ability to manage costs and benefits of regulation. The final challenge is the need for autonomy and accountability of central banks. The Nobel Laureate economist Prof. Spence was the Chairman of the " Commission of Growth and Development ". The Commission was formed chiefly by political and public policy leaders from the developing world. According to him 13 countries grew at the rate of seven percent or more over 25 years. India and Vietnam are likely to join this group in the near future. Two factors responsible for this was maintenance of a stable macro- economic environment conducive to investment. Also there was high level of investment including public sector investment. A key component of high growth was the very heavy investment in human capital. Prof. Spence averred that central banks have an informative advantage because of the work they do. They have, in addition, a capital advantage, much as an entity like the IMF has - and that is superb analytical talent. He laid emphasis on four factors - managing inflation, internal and external crises, volatility and achieving autonomy without losing credibility. The technical sessions discussed threadbare issues like ' policy discretion', ' regulatory systems' ' flexible inflation targeting' and ' asset prices'. Another subject was the challenges posed by globalisation to central banks, fiscal problems of industrial countries. The third session concentrated on disruptions in financial systems and the imperative need for financial stability mandate. Regulatory responses should not be allowed to stifle financial innovations. The fourth session examined whether financial stability should be an explicit objective of monetary policy and whether its absence contributed to the financial crisis. In two panel discussions Governors of central banks offered their candid views on important issues with both country and global perspective. Five critical issues related to International Monetary system were the subject of discussion in a panel. The discussions were given direction by the Deputy Governors of R B I , who also offered a summing- up. Quoting from the latest book of Niall Ferguson, " The Ascent of Money" Governor Subbarao stated, " Sometimes the most important historical events are the non- events: the thing that did not occur." The spectacular non- event of the crisis is that the ' Great Recession' did not turn into the ' Great Depression'. For this central bankers should get a part of the credit. This is a volume to be read with great care and diligence. It contains the essence of wisdom of some of the wisest heads of our generation. Among the distinguished participants were Martin Wolf, Chief commentator of Financial Times, William Pole of Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, John Lipsky, Deputy Managing Director of the IMF and B Friedman, Professor, Harvard University. The RBI and the Academic Foundation deserve praise for making the valuable proceedings of the conference available to students, scholars, bankers, economists, planners and the public.
FPJ