On 15 August 1997, then Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Deputy Governor Yaga Venugopal Reddy, at a foreign exchange dealers’ conference in Goa, had said: “As per the real effective exchange rate, it would certainly appear that the rupee is overvalued...” Reddy’s apparently innocuous statement pulled the local currency sharply down against the dollar. From 35.7 to a dollar, the rupee slipped to 40.7—more than 12%—in the next five months. Clearly, through Reddy the Indian central bank wanted to convey a message to the market. This was the first instance of RBI talking the rupee down. Many believe current RBI Deputy Governor Subir Gokarn was emulating Reddy when, on 17 November, he told a business channel that “…the use of reserves to defend an exchange rate, which may not be defensible beyond a point, means we end up with the same pressures and with a lower set of defence against it. So, you have to be very careful about how we use the reserves…”
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