Thursday, June 9, 2011

RBI prescribes leaves to curb bank fraud


MUMBAI: Thanks to high-value frauds in banks, Reserve Bank of India has asked lenders to implement a mandatory leave requirement, which will compel a large number of bankers to spend quality time with their families.  Mandatory leave requirement is a policy which is in place in most multinational banks. This policy is also present in some private banks but is limited to staff handling sensitive positions. Mandatory leave is an integral part of risk management because it enables a peer review of the job done by an employee in his absence. In most cases, the mandatory annual leave is for a minimum period of 10 days.  Citi already has a mandatory leave policy and so do other foreign banks like Standard Chartered and Deutsche Bank. In the private sector  ICICI Bank has a mandatory leave requirement for those in sensitive positions such as treasury. However, this does not cover relationship managers. But with RBI describing the position of a relationship managers dealing with rich customers as sensitive, banks will have to add them to the list of employees required to go on mandatory leave.  "We already have a mandatory leave policy for those in sensitive positions such as treasury and forex. But in the context of present developments there may be need for review" said MD Mallya, chairman, Indian Banks Association and chairman of public sector Bank of Baroda. He added that every bank would frame its own policy and there was unlikely to be an industry level approach to the issue.  An Axis Bank source said that the bank did not have any mandatory leave policy but was in the process of implementing a scheme across the board. Old private banks, too, do not have such a policy. Public sector banks which account for majority of banking in the country do not have a mandatory leave policy but all banks do have a staff rotation policy. In a circular to all banks, RBI has said that it has recently conducted forensic scrutiny in banks with large-value frauds. The largest banking fraud in recent months was the one at Citibank's Gurgaon branch where Shivraj Puri, a relationship manager, defrauded high networth customers of crores by promising high returns in a non-existent scheme provided by the bank.RBI has said that based on the findings, it has done a further scrutiny of the policies and operating framework. "Banks should immediately put in place "staff rotation" policy and policy for "mandatory leave" for staff. The internal auditors as also the concurrent auditors must be specifically required to examine the implementation of these policies and point out instances of breaches irrespective of apparent justifications for non-compliance," RBI has said in its circular highlighting disincentives and controls to be introduced in a bank's human resources policy.  The mandatory leave policy will also reduce the wage costs of banks. Many institutions allow employees to accumulate leave and encash them while in service or at the time of superannuation. The mandatory leave requirement will reduce the capacity for employees to accumulate leave and, therefore, require banks to make  lesser provision for privilege leave.
TOI   

New MFI bill to make RBI sole regulator, supersede old laws

The central government bill on microfinance companies is likely to make RBI the single regulator for the sector. The bill may also supersede all existing state legislations on MFIs, reports CNBC-TV18’s Gopika Gopakumar.This new bill, which is being drafted by the finance ministry, is quite a divergent from the old bill. In fact, the old bill that is a microfinance bill of 2010, which had proposed two sets of regulators for the industry. RBI will be responsible for the NBFC MFIs and (NABARD) National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development, which should be responsible for the non-NBFC MFIs. However, the new bill, which was being drafted by the finance ministry has entrusted the RBI with the power to regulate all microfinance companies. Now this move will ensure a uniform regulatory framework for a sector and it will avoid any conflict of interest between regulators. Secondly, this bill will also supersede all state government legislations including the money lending act and also the ordinance enacted by the Andhra Pradesh government. So, the bill is likely to give the role of a protector to the state governments by ensuring that the interest of the borrowers is protected. The committee, however, is looking at the modalities on how to ensure that the government plays a role of a grievance redressal mechanism and how they should go about doing it. However, one question that arises at this point in time is whether RBI has the bandwidth and the machinery to supervise the entire microfinance sector.
Moneycontrol

NBFC shares tank on expected RBI provision norms

Shares of non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) fell 1-4% on Wednesday on concern that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) may hike risk weights and provisioning if loans to the sector don't fall. It would increase the cost of borrowings of those companies which may then face margin contraction. "If it happens, this will make liquidity tight," the managing director of a south-based large NBFC told Moneycontrol.com requesting anonymity. "RBI is concerned by the end-use of funds lent by NBFCs. Their net interest margin will also come down. The provision may be applicable for NBFCs, engaged in lending to real estate companies, and promoter fundings." "We are in favour of regulatory tightening of assets," Ramesh Iyer, MD of Mahindra Finance recently told Moneycontrol.com in an interview. "Any balance sheet, which is competent and capable of regulatory changes, is a strong balance sheet. We only hope that NBFCs (with strong ballance sheets) should also be looked at differently," he added. Currently, NBFC loans carry 100% weightage. It means that banks have to set aside Rs 9 for every Rs 100 lent. RBI has mandated 9% minimum capital adequacy ratio for banks. However, for gold loan of upto Rs 2 lakh, the risk weightage is 50%. V Lakshmi Narasimhan, CFO of Basel II-rated NBFC-Magma Fincorp, says "With this status, we enjoy 20% risk weightage. If this status is not withdrawn, we would not be impacted by any rise in provisioning." Manappuram General Finance MD I Unnikrishnan declined to comment without RBI's official announcement."If the risk weightage for NBFC lending is raised, we will have to study the impact. We will see whether we can absorb it or pass it on to customers depending upon the intensity of rise," Jagdish Pai, executive director, Canara Bank told Moneycontrol.com.
Moneycontrol

KC Speak........

On the recent comments of RBI Deputy Governor, Dr K. C.Chakrabarty, on banks having very high net interest margins, Mr Chaudhuri said, “He has said what he has felt. He has more data at his disposal. “He has seen more banks and more banking systems. If you see the pattern in that, there must be some truth in his [comments.]” While NIMs should be reduced, he said there are no easy ways of doing it. 
- Pratip Chaudhuri, Chairman, SBI (Business Line)

Now, swipe debit card for cash at Barista

Barista Lavazza and Visa have joined hands to launch cash at PoS – a cash withdrawal facility at the point of sale in a retail store. This will enable all Visa debit cardholders to not only pay for their coffee and snacks but also withdraw cash at over 170 Barista Lavazza outlets located across the country. As per RBI guidelines, Visa Debit cardholders can withdraw an amount of upto Rs 1,000 in a day, at any Barista Lavazza outlet. A press release says that cardholders can walk up to a Barista Lavazza cafĂ©; swipe their debit card for their cup of coffee or any other meal and withdraw an amount that they may require. There will be no charges levied on the cardholder for the cash withdrawal transaction. Further, cardholders are not obliged to make a purchase to get cash. The service is currently rolled out in Delhi NCR & Mumbai. It will be extended to other parts of the country over the next few weeks.
Business Line

INFLATION - On Razor’s Edge



RBI Governor D Subbarao has said the central bank cannot escape from the challenge of weighing the growth-inflation trade off in determining its monetary policy stance
US President Barack Obama’s popularity ratings got a boost following the death of Osama bin Laden, but back home if one were to run a similar poll for Duvvuri Subbarao, the outcome would be anybody’s guess. For the ninth time since March 2010, the 22nd governor of the Reserve Bank of India has hiked the repo rate in a bid to counter raging inflation, which threatens to derail India’s growth engine. Subbarao’s hawkish stance is understandable, given that average headline inflation was at a 16-year high in the just-concluded FY11, and continues to stay elevated at 9%, two months into the new fiscal year. Though the 62-year-old Subbarao has been critical of the inflation-targeting school of thought, he has time and again found himself doing that. . Not surprisingly, the post-policy remarks reveal Subbarao’s predicament. “The Reserve Bank of India cannot escape from the difficult challenge of weighing the growth-inflation trade off in determining its monetary policy stance.” The unwilling trade-off has then been made: the central bank has slashed the country’s GDP growth forecast for FY12 to 8% against the government’s projected 9%. For now, RBI estimates inflation will stand at an average 9% in the first half of FY12 and expects it to fall to around 6% by March 2012. Making the job easier for the RBI is the unequivocal support from the government. “Autonomy does not mean doing the opposite of what someone else says. What is heartening about the recent policy is that the government and the RBI are autonomously in agreement,” read a statement made by Kaushik Basu, Chief Economic Advisor to the Finance Ministry, post the recent hike. Though Subbarao has Basu’s support, India Inc, in general, is miffed by the RBI move  . Already smarting from the rise in commodity prices, Corporate India will now have to contend with a higher interest outgo on its loans, further impacting their bottomline. The 50 basis repo rate hike means the rate at which the RBI lends money to banks has risen to 7.25% and 6.25% will be the rate banks get for parking their funds with the central bank. The hike in repo rates forces banks to jack up their own lending rates to personal and corporate borrowers, thus making overall borrowing more expensive.
Trial By Fire
Corporates are already feeling the pinch. According to a recent survey by Ficci, most respondents expect manufacturing growth to moderate because of higher financing costs. About 34% respondents reported higher cost of borrowing and 48% reported that they might re-consider expanding capacity because of the same. . The survey showed that prime lending rates of banks were already ruling at 12.75-13%. Now, the risk is that the rates could go up further. Taking it on the chin is the beleaguered real estate sector, which is already grappling with weak demand and the legacy of high leverage. Pradeep Jain, Chairman, Confederation of Real Estate Developers’ Association of India (Credai), feels the rate hike is harsh. “This will aggravate the cash crunch the industry is facing. The apex bank must think about the industrial growth, which has moderated in last few quarters. Taking funds out of the market cannot be the only solution to tame inflation.” His view is echoed by other business bodies as well. “The industry is already reeling under the impact of rising raw material costs and an increase in interest costs will be an added burden,” says B Muthuraman, vice-president, Tata Steel, and president, Confederation of Indian Industry. Some like Arun Singh, senior economist, Dun & Bradstreet India, feel that higher rates will significantly affect the entire economic environment in the country. “The RBI has focused on taming inflationary pressures at the cost of impacting growth—as an aggressive hike in the policy rate is likely to impact not only demand but also investment,” he says. Corroborating Singh’s views is the slowdown in the pace of new investments. According to economy think-tank CMIE, new investment announcements stood at Rs 2.63 lakh crore in recent March quarter against Rs 2.92 lakh crore in the preceding quarter. According to CMIE, the average value of new investment announcements in the past three quarters, at about Rs 3 lakh crore per quarter is nearly half the Rs 5.8 lakh crore per quarter average in the preceding three quarters. That is bad news as the recent Ascon-CII survey showed that of the 121 sectors, there are 55 sectors that still have moderate to negative growth. Manoj Gaur, executive chairman, Jaiprakash Associates, part of the Jaiprakash group that has interests in roads, power, cement, and real estate, agrees. “Inflation is a matter of concern, but what is worrisome is that if interest rates start increasing then this would effect infrastructure development,” says Gaur, who feels rising rates will make it all the more difficult to raise debt within the country.
Little Headroom
Rating agency Fitch has already raised the red flag. According to the agency, if interest rates remain at very high levels over the life of project loans for power projects, debt service coverage ratios could come under pressure. In extreme situations where a project has just drawn a loan and the applicable interest rate has increased by 300 basis points, Fitch expects additional cost of the project to be in the region of 2-3.5%, depending on the drawdown schedule and gearing level. Gaur, hence, believes higher rates could impact the viability of ventures as these costs cannot be easily passed on to the end-consumer. Already, with coal prices up 35%, the fear is any such step would lead to an increase in power tariff by 13 paise per unit. In the case of real estate, developers are already reeling under the rise in prices of cement and steel, comprising 35% of construction cost, which are up 16% and 9%, respectively, since October 2010. What makes life difficult for developers is that sales are down in four of the top six markets—Mumbai Metropolitan Region, National Capital Region, Pune, Hyderabad—as prices went up in some markets in FY11 by up to 30%. With an all-time high inventory of unsold stock (around 500 million sq ft) that could take another 22 months (around two years) to clear, higher rates will not only impact end-user demand but also squeeze developers through higher interest expense. “If buyer sentiment takes a knock it can halt the growth that the industry has seen post-the global crisis,” warns Credai’s Jain. Also feeling the heat is another rate sensitive sector—automobiles. Says Rajeev Kapoor, president and CEO of Fiat India: “Higher rates will result in lower walk-in and conversion.” That would be a sea-change for a sector that had seen roaring growth last fiscal. Automobile sales had surged over 30% in FY11, driven by 24 new launches and relatively benign auto loan rates. Going ahead, the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM) expects sales growth to slow down to 12-15% in the current fiscal, due to the high base of last year and rising interest rates. “The industry has been absorbing the increase in input costs for a long time, but going ahead car makers will be forced to pass on the burden to the customers as their profit margins are already under pressure,” said Pawan Goenka, President, Siam, in a statement. Within the consumption pack, unlike the auto industry, FMCG players are least impacted by the rate hike, but are bearing the brunt of higher commodity prices. Marico Industries, makers of Parachute and Saffola, has seen a close to 20-25% hike in raw materials costs, which has forced the company to hike prices of its products by around 10-12%. “Increase in prices has obviously led to shrinkage in margins and growth rate,” admits Saugata Gupta, CEO, consumer division.
No Way Out
Given the adverse turn of events and looming macro concerns, foreign institutional investors have already pressed the panic button by dumping Indian stocks worth over Rs 3,000 crore in the first week of May after pumping in over Rs 7,000 crore in April. What is cause for concern is that though headline inflation could cool off following the recent selloff in crude oil and other commodities globally, food inflation will continue to stay high. In fact, Subbarao has on several occasions raised the point of addressing the supply-side bottlenecks. “RBI is responsible for management of inflation. But responsibility for food inflation is slightly lower because food inflation arises due to supply-side constraints,” he said in a statement. Since that cannot be addressed right away, monetary tightening could be further resorted to contain inflation in the manufacturing sector. In other words, the repo rate could rise from the current 7.25% to the FY08 levels of 9%. Economists such as Chetan Ahya of Morgan Stanley and Shubhada Rao of Yes Bank expect rates to rise 75-100 basis points during the course of the year. That could well mean that India Inc’s nightmare will not end anytime soon.
Outlook

CDS norms: a significant step forward

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has recently released guidelines for trading in credit default swaps (CDS) on corporate bonds. Such “single-name” CDS contracts have become an important part of credit...

NSSF review to help you save more

THINGS TO KNOW
  • You can invest more in PPF as the investment limit may be raised to Rs 1 lakh
  • Returns from small saving instruments of the same tenure will be market linked
  • You stand to earn 25 basis points more than the related market instrument
  • Withdrawals from PPF would mean losing two per cent compared to the prevailing rate
  • KVP may be replaced by 10-year NSC
  • Returns from senior citizens scheme and NSC would be unchanged

If the recommendations are implemented, PPF and NSC’s returns will be on par with existing bank term deposits. Soon, you may be able to save more through the Public Provident Fund (PPF). A review committee under Reserve Bank of India deputy governor Shyamal Gopinath on the National Small Savings Fund (NSSF) has proposed an increase on the maximum you can invest in PPF from the existing Rs 70,000 to Rs 1 lakh, in line with the Section 80C limit for Employee Provident Fund. Experts say the government could garner more funds if the move is implemented. “This is a very good move, as PPF is completely exempt from tax. Many people invest larger chunks of money in PPF for their retirement and this forms the maximum for saving taxes,” says Kartik Jhaveri of Transcend Consultants. Most importantly, if the committee’s recommendations are implemented, returns from these instruments will be market linked to 10-year government securities (G-secs) of similar maturity with a positive spread of 25 basis points. That implies if the 10-year G-sec is trading at 7.98 (as on April 1), investors could expect around 8.25 per cent from PPF. Returns from National Savings Certificates and other instruments will also improve. The revised rates may be notified by the government afresh at the beginning of every financial year based on the average yields on government securities in the previous calendar year. While the committee offers a carrot of raising the limit, there is a stick if someone wants to withdraw money prematurely. The committee has recommended a cut of two per cent on withdrawing from the deposits as compared to the prevailing rate. There are many more changes recommended for small saving schemes. Kisan Vikas Patra (KVP) may be removed from NSSF. “This is in the interest of investors, as this scheme did not give tax benefits. And, though it could double investors’ money, they had to wait for over eight years for the same,” says D Sundarajan of Trendy Investments. Keeping in mind the need for long-term investment products, the committee has asked for the introduction of National Saving Certificates (NSCs) of 10 years. The existing NSC has a lock-in of six years, which may be brought down to five years. But, this may not mean much for you as there is no revision in returns and the interest earned is taxable. The committee has recommended a rise of 50 basis points in returns from the postal saving scheme i.e. four per cent as against 3.5 per cent now, in line with the bank savings account. But, there would be two exceptions in the form of Senior Citizens Scheme and National Saving Certificate (NSC), where the rates are unchanged at nine per cent and eight per cent, respectively. In comparison, the State Bank of India’s (SBI ) one-year term deposit is offering 7.75 per cent. And the amount invested is not exempted from tax. At the same time, the tax-saving five-year bank deposit from SBI is fetching 8.25 per cent. Sundarajan says, “We have been advising clients who fall in the 10 per cent tax bracket to stop investments in even PPF and lock-in longer-term fixed deposits earning 10 per cent and more. However, for those in the 20 and 30 per cent bracket, PPF makes more sense.” And, from the tax perspective, financial planners favour fixed maturity plans of mutual funds, which are taxed at 10 per cent without indexation and 20 per cent with indexation. Jhaveri adds, “These are very high rates and may not sustain for long. Hence, it would be helpful to revise rates higher for shorter tenure investments, the interest rate cycle for which is visible. Ten years is too far away to be able to predict the rates now.”
BS

RBI deputy: inflation should decelerate in H2

Inflation in India should start decelerating in the second half of the current fiscal year, deputy governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Subir Gokarn, said at Citi investor conference on Wednesday. Gokarn also told television channel CNBC-TV18 at the conference it was inevitable that high interest rates would at some point affect growth but the RBI would look to keep that impact small.
Yahoo News

Chip-based cards will cut the risk of fraud when you go shopping

Your card-related retail transactions will soon become safer. Alarmed by the increase in card-related fauds, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) last week suggested the industry shifts to chip-based cards as against the more commonly used magnetic strip ones. Chip-based cards come with encrypted information, which makes then safer. But, the apex bank wants new credit and debit cards to provide greater security by asking for a second-level authentication by way of a personal identification number (PIN ). Most credit and debit card frauds take place at point of sales (PoS) terminals. According to RBI’s report, the banking industry saw frauds worth Rs 13 crore due to lost, stolen and counterfeited cards in 2010-2011. At Rs 8.2 crore, loss due to counterfeited cards was the highest. Currently, all transaction data from the PoS terminals or automated teller machines (ATMs) to the host system are sent in a clear text format. The transaction data travels through public-switched telephone networks and General Packet Radio Service (GPRS). Any data compromise, due to wire tapping at the merchant establishment or during the communication carriage can lead to fraud. Fraudsters who get hold of a card can copy the information in case of magnetic stripe cards. However, this is not possible with chip-based ones. There are around 240 million debit cards and around 18 million credit cards. The total spending at PoS terminals is worth Rs 88,000 crore. According to RBI, the number of such terminals in the country is about 5.6 lakh. There are around 70,000 ATMs. Bankers say though the move is expected to bring the level of card frauds down, it will increase the cost for banks, which means the cardholders will have to shell out more money for the card. Presently, chip-based cards cost around Rs 80-90, as against Rs 15-20 for magnetic strip cards. This will also increase the time taken for retail transactions at PoS terminals because of the second level authentication needed. If chip-based cards with PIN are to be mandated for all transactions, the PoS terminals will also have to be modified to read the new type of card code. In its report, the panel says if the service code on the card does not support the PIN, the terminals will have to be updated with bank identification numbers of all the issuing banks in the country. Banks like State Bank of India (SBI), ICICI Bank, Citibank and HDFC Bank have started replacing plain magnetic swipe high-end cards with dual cards having both the chip and the magnetic swipe. The RBI panel has also suggested that an alternative to PIN, which is used for ATM for cash withdrawals, could be a biometric verification, using data from the Unique Identification Authority of India’s ‘Aadhar’ number.
BS

Saraswat first co-op bank to get pan-India license

Saraswat Bank has been granted a pan-India operation license by the Reserve Bank, making it the first co-operative bank in the country to be accorded this permission, it said today. The bank's chairman, Eknath Thakur, said, "The 93-year-old bank will be concentrating first on opening branches in the southern Indian states of Kerala, Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu, to be followed up by national capital region and northern states." By end-FY16, Thakur said, the bank is targetting to expand its network to five hundred branches from the present 216, with the uncovered region getting increased attention. Thakur said that the bank's total business mix has crossed Rs 28,000 crore today, to make it the undisputed leader amongst cooperative banks in the country. It overtook the Maharashtra State Cooperative Bank which had a business mix of Rs 27,800 crore before its board was dissolved last month, Thakur said.
IBN Live

Banking On A Machine

ATMs are on their way to becoming a one-stop shop for most banking services. Here's what your ATM can do for you...........

Read full story.............. 

New MFI bill to make RBI sole regulator, supersede old laws - Watch the video

Milestone Of Sorts

The working group constituted by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on the introduction of financial holding company (FHC) structure in India has come up with its recommendations in a report. In India, all non-banking activities, such as insurance, mutual funds and broking, are undertaken by banks through a subsidiary route. Banks usually float separate subsidiaries to manage these businesses. The working group in its report says: “One of the key risks posed by the bank-subsidiary model is that the parent bank is directly exposed to the functioning of various subsidiaries and any losses incurred by the subsidiaries inevitably impact the bank’s balance sheet. It, therefore, becomes imperative that the bank regulator [RBI in this case] has an interest in the health of all subsidiaries under the banks, even as each subsidiary is under the jurisdiction of the respective sectoral regulators (IRDA, Sebi, and so on)”. This increases the complexity of the supervision process. The working group felt that the FHC structure may enable better supervision from a systemic perspective. The report states: “A holding company model would provide the requisite differentiation in regulatory approach for the holding company vis-a-vis the individual entities.” The working group also suggested that the FHC model can be extended to all large financial groups, irrespective of whether they contain a bank or not. The global economic slowdown saw many banks and financial institutions suffering huge losses and reaching the brink of collapse, which forced many governments to use taxpayers’ money to bail out these institutions in order to safeguard public money. Taking a cue from this crisis, the RBI had constituted a working group in June 2010 to examine the feasibility of introducing an FHC structure in India under the chairpersonship of Shyamala Gopinath, deputy governor, RBI. The group has recommended that the implementation of the FHC model should be done in a gradual and phased manner, which will free up banks from the risk and the extra burden of managing their subsidiaries—these things would be taken care of by the FHC so the bank can concentrate on its own activities. This means that the money lying in your bank account will be more secure in the future.
Outlook

Kisan Patra may go on money laundering threat

NEW DELHI: Concerns over misuse of the popular small savings scheme Kisan Vikas Patra (KVP) for money laundering may prompt the government to wind up the scheme. A panel headed by Reserve Bank of India Deputy Governor  Shyamala Gopinath has recommended an end of the scheme as KVP is prone to misuse.  It also said the continued popularity of both KVP and NSC among the urban population, who are not small savers, could be prompted by an incentive to avoid tax. NSC and KVP are the two most popular savings schemes and together accounted for nearly half of the total small savings corpus as on March 2010.  The UPA government is facing criticism for its inability to check generation of black and has taken several steps to strengthen and streamline laws and procedures to check proliferation of black money. It has set up several panels to investigate and estimate the extent of black money in the system.  An official said KVP was more popular as it was a bearer-like instrument and possibility of misuse is very high. "While there is no evidence to suggest that KVP was being used for money laundering purposes, it was found that often some investors made bulk purchases and later on transferred them to others," said the official, who did not wish to be identified.  The panel said it had noted the observations made on KVP and national savings certificate by the Rakesh Mohan committee that both these instruments were quite expensive in terms of the effective cost to the government and should be discontinued. "In view of recent developments on Anti Money-Laundering (AML)/Combating the Financing Terrorism (CFT) front, the committee recommends that KVP should be discontinued," the panel said.  The panel has also called for enforcing strict Know Your Customer (KYC) norms for all small savings to prevent money laundering and generation of black money.
TOI

Can UID help to make card payment systems more secure and future proof?

According to a report published by the RBI, technically this is possible, but the acceptance of biometrics in payment authentication has not been proved anywhere else yet .......

Click to read............

Now, get UID online.....

In the first initiative of its kind in the country, the state government is launching an online process to fast-track registration of Unique Identification Number (also known as Adhaar) in Mumbai and Pune, in the.....

Bankers against Ramdev’s call to ban 500, 1,000 notes

Mumbai: Baba Ramdev’s call to ban Rs 500 and Rs 1000 notes to curb black money is not finding any support among bankers who feel that such a ban is not feasible. However, no senior banker is willing to comment on the issue as they feel it is a political hot potato to talk about the impact of such a ban.  According to RBI data of the Rs 7,88,299cr currency in circulation, 76% is in Rs 500 and Rs 1000 notes. However, when it comes to number, these two denominations represent 17% of currency notes. Despite the presence of high denominations RBI had spent Rs 2754cr in printing notes. Bankers say that if these two denominations are withdrawn cost of handling cash would zoom and there would be complete chaos.  Operators of automated teller machines say that it will throw up huge challenges as these machines will hold less than a fifth of their current capacity. “An ATM machine typically holds 10,000 bills if these were to comprise only notes of Rs 100 the rate of replinshment would go up. This will increase costs and inconvenience customers” said Mani Mamallan, chief marketing office, C-Edge Technologies a joint venture between SBI and TCS.  Besides, transaction time at machines would also rise because the maximum amount that can be withdrawn at a stretch would be Rs 5,000 since machines are designed to dispense only 50 notes at a time. The cost of printing notes for RBI would also multiply several times. “A high transaction ATM which runs out of cash once a day will run out of money several times. Because cash replenishment agencies will take a couple of hours to respond, customers will be affected because of the down-time” said Sunil Udupa, CEO, AGS Infotech another company that supplies machines and maintains bank ATM networks.  According to Udupa the only solution for a bank would be to increase the number of machines in a location. “Taking such measures will increase their cost, but that is the only way that they can ensure that cash is consistently available to customers if high value notes are withdrawn” said Udupa.  Besides, the costs involved, banks feel that while such a measure would indeed inconvenience those dealing in black money it might simply shift black money into other assets such as gold or US dollars. “Electronic payments account for only five percent of all transactions. One reason for this is the absence of financial inclusion as a result of which daily wage earners receive payment in cash” said a banker. “It is only when everyone has a bank account and a payment card that electronic transactions will gain popularity”. But some card companies say that the presence of unaccounted money could be the reason why customers choose to make bigticket payments in cash despite cards being available.
TOI

RBI Mustn’t Dictate Bank Margins - T T RAM MOHAN PROFESSOR, IIM AHMEDABAD


The central bank should desist from talking down the net interest margin of banks
The net interest margin (NIM) — the difference between interest income and income expense as a proportion of assets — is a key driver of bank profitability. The RBI thinks it is too high in India and has been trying hard to talk it down. Is the RBI right to be worried about the NIM? If yes, what is the appropriate response to high margins? Let us begin by looking at the trend in NIM of Indian banks as a whole and of public sector banks (PSBs). Two facts are clear from the accompanying table. One, the NIM remained steady for a long period after deregulation. Two, it fell to a lower level in 2007-08 and 2008-09. The decline in NIM for banks as a whole was the result of a decline in margins at PSBs which account for 70% of assets in the Indian banking system.  One would expect deregulation to result in a decline in bank margins. This has happened in other banking systems but not in India until recently. Why? Deregulation leads to greater competition amongst banks. It is also accompanied by disintermediation, that is, deposits and loans move out of the banking sector and into financial markets. As competition hots up, deposit rates rise and loan rates decline. Banks’ NIMs get squeezed. India does not conform to this trend because, at the time of deregulation, we had a low level of bank penetration. In 1991-95, the credit to GDP ratio averaged 29%. The ratio has since risen to 60% but remains below that in many emerging markets. We are still an under-banked economy. Any economic system needs a minimum level of banking services. Only thereafter will savers and borrowers migrate in a big way to the financial markets. It will be a while before banks feel the full blast of disintermediation.  The decline in NIM in the recent past is good news for borrowers. However, it is not as if banks need to start worrying. Despite a decline in NIM in 2007-08 and 2008-09, PSBs’ return on assets was around 1% in both the years. This was higher than in many of the previous years. PSBs seem to have made up for the decline in margin by an increase in fee income. This highlights a second factor underlying the level of bank margins, namely, the proportion of fee income in relation to interest income. Banks with a high proportion of fees can afford a lower NIM; those with a lower proportion will need a higher NIM. A third factor driving the NIM is the bank’s business model. In a branchintensive model, such as India’s, operational costs will be high. The NIM needs to be commensurately higher.  The composition of loans and the risk profile of borrowers is another important factor determining the NIM. A bank that has a higher proportion of SMEs in its portfolio will require a higher NIM in order to offset risk. So will banks with more of certain retail loans, such as consumer loans, credit cards, two-wheeler and three-wheeler loans. Mandating a lower NIM across the board does not make sense.  We want banks to practise financial inclusion. That means investing in distribution, higher operational costs on low ticket loans and deposits and lending to riskier borrowers. All this will be reflected in higher lending rates and a higher NIM. If we want banks to be serious about financial inclusion, we must be willing to tolerate higher NIMs on that portion of their portfolio.  Comparing NIMs across countries is not meaningful either because the factors listed above will vary from one country to another. The NIM for US banks in 2008 was just under 3.8%; at its peak in 1993, it was close to 5%. In the period 1994-01, banks in Western Europe had an average margin of 2.7%, higher than what Indian banks enjoy today; the margin in banks in Eastern Europe in that period was twice that in Western Europe. No worthwhile conclusions can be drawn from cross-country comparisons. How do we respond to a situation where NIMs do not decline appreciably with deregulation? The regulator’s job is to ensure adequate competition — and leave it at that. One way to measure competition is to look at the market share of the top five banks. The figure of 38% for India looks right; it places India somewhere in the middle of a range of developed and emerging markets.  The RBI is welcome to usher in greater competition by licensing new banks. However, in the present situation, a policy bias towards higher NIMs would be appropriate. Under Basel 3, capital requirements for banks will go up and banks’ return on equity will come under pressure. Indian banks will need capital from abroad in order to finance an economy growing at the present rate. Higher NIMs will enable Indian banks to maintain their return on equity and attract capital.  For all these reasons, talking down NIMs is not correct policy. It is a matter of concern on another account. Since April 2009, the policy rate has gone up by 250 basis points. However, the prime lending rate of PSBs remained unchanged. The base rate, which came into effect from July 1, 2010, has increased only by 75-100 bps at PSBs.  It does appear that moral suasion on the part of the central bank has kept PSBs from increasing their lending rates. As a result, the pass-through of policy rates to borrowers has not happened. It cannot be that the RBI professes to be tough on inflation but does not allow the logic of its policy to work through the banking system.
ET

Unidirectional Graph – Naveen Kumar


Banks up lending rates, more in the offing

The upward movement of interest rate continues unabated. Most of the banks have increased their lending rates following the 50-basis point (bps) hike in key policy rates and saving accounts interest rate by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on 3 May 2011. (A basis point is one-hundredth of 1 per cent.) Base rate is the minimum rate at which a bank can lend to its customers and interest rates on all loans (home loan, auto loan, personal loan, and so on) are linked to the base rate. Any increase in base rate directly affects existing as well as new borrowers as the EMI outflow is bound to go up. The RBI, in its effort to lower inflation, increases key rates to suck liquidity from the banking system—as a result, banks are left with less money to lend and so they increase their lending rates. India’s largest bank, State Bank of India, upped its base rate by 75 bps from 8.50 per cent per annum (p.a.) to 9.25 per cent p.a. with effect from 12 May 2011. Other public sector banks such as Punjab National Bank and Canara Bank have already raised their lending rates by increasing their base rate by 50 bps to 10 per cent, with effect from 5 May 2011. Bank of Baroda and Union Bank of India followed suit, increasing their base rates to 10 per cent effective 6 May 2011. Among private sector banks, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank and HDFC Bank hiked their base rates to 9.25 per cent. Existing auto loan borrowers are suffering the double whammy of rising fuel prices and interest rate hikes. In fact, these factors have made many people postpone their car purchase decision. The impact is visible as auto sales have slowed down—domestic car sales grew just 13 per cent in the month of April, the least in the last two years. Many experts are of the opinion that there may be another 25-50 bps hike in key rates in the coming months, after which rates may stabilise or start coming down. So, if you have been waiting for interest rates to come down to take a home, auto or personal loan, it’s quite likely that you might have to wait for a little longer.
Outlook  

PACs to work as business correspondents in Maharashtra

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the National Bank for Agriculture & Rural Development (Nabard) have given their in-principle approvals to commercial banks roping in more primary agriculture cooperative societies (PACs) to disburse crop loans in Maharashtra. Under such an arrangement, Nabard would provide refinance to commercial banks and the crop loan to farmers would be routed through PACs, which would play the role of business correspondents. The decision was taken by the state-level banker's committee of Maharashtra, chaired by Chief Minister Prithviraj Chavan. The meeting was also attended by RBI Deputy Governor K C Chakrabarty and Nabard Chairman Prakash Bakshi. The decision follows the state government's move to supersede Maharashtra State Cooperative Bank's 44-member board of directors for procedural lapses and huge exposure to cooperative sugar and spinning mills.  Speaking to Business Standard, Prithviraj Chavan said, "At Wednes'day's meeting, a comprehensive plan was finalised for the disbursement of crop loans of Rs 23,180.66 crore for 2011-12, compared with Rs 13,150.88 crore in 2010-11. The government wants commercial banks to play a pro-active role to increase their share. The government would provide all the necessary help." Nabard Chairman Bakshi said, "The primary objective is timely availability of crop loans to farmers and Nabard would provide the necessary refinance to commercial banks which lend to farmers through PACS"  M D Mallya, chairman and managing director, Bank of Baroda said, "The apex co-operative bank has been in some sort of a difficulty and therefore, the banking system needs to ensure that the credit flow is not curtailed."
BS

Tainted players unlikely to get banking licences