Friday, July 27, 2012

Navigating choppy waters - Suman Bery


......If Dr Reddy is indeed appointed chair of the Fourteenth Finance Commission, as has been recently trailed in this newspaper, it is likely that these rather severe views will find expression in the work of that body. In contrast to this forceful expression of the normative framework for fiscal policy, I do not recall his articulating any equally emphatic doctrine for monetary policy. His main lament was that in recent years Indian inflation had moved from being on average below that of other emerging markets to on average being at the top of the heap. Unkind observers might argue that this is what happens when a central bank is given unlimited discretion and is not bound by a formal commitment to the government or to Parliament. We know that both Dr Reddy and his successor have spurned inflation targeting as inappropriate for India, including its less formal version, the “low inflation goal” proposed by the Raghuram Rajan committee’s report on the financial sector. The lack of an explicit nominal anchor may also have complicated the Reserve Bank’s efforts to guide the exchange rate in an orderly way in recent weeks...........

A gold medal for Subbarao - S S Tarapore



The RBI Governor has done well to pick up 200 tonnes of gold in 2009. It would be prudent for the RBI to step up the gold proportion to 33 per cent of total reserves, from 9 per cent

.......Dr Subbarao has already earned his place in the firmament of the RBI by his percipient picking up of 200 tonnes of gold in 2009. If he leads India into the Golden Age, he would rightfully become Zeus in the RBI’s Pantheon of Governors. With the 2012 London Olympics, Dr Subbarao, a reputed marathon runner, should “go for gold”!.......

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RBI’s sovereign debt management can help monetary policy

There is no conflict of interest in the Reserve Bank of India managing government borrowings and it does not lead to rate manipulation in favour of the Centre, a research paper by the RBI has said. "We feel there might be a confluence of interest between sovereign debt management and monetary policy, both helping each other, especially in extraordinary circumstances such as the recent global crisis ," said the research paper, jointly authored by Sunil Kumar and NRVVMK Rajendra Kumar of RBI's Internal Debt  Management Department...................

Kolkata historians want India to claim 48 tons of silver recovered from World War II shipwreck

......The assets recovered were being taken from the British-ruled city Calcutta, now Kolkata, which was an Indian territory. I think the Indians should have a say to find out whether it was public capital or private capital. If it was public capital then the state must play a role," historian CR Panda, a former director of Calcutta's Indian museum, told MAIL TODAY. Panda said the finance ministry, Reserve Bank of India (RBI), ministry of external affairs and law must step in to look into the international legal parameters of the recovered items if they want to lay any claims...........

Why RBI’s Chakrabarty is Wrong About Indians

.......The increasing demand for gold reflects the public’s lack of faith in the Indian economy. The current account deficit that Chakrabarty worries about would not have been so wide had the government taken a single decision of letting fuel suppliers charge customers at least what it costs them to buy oil. Chakrabarty has unfairly blamed the public for India’s economic woes.The root cause of India’s precarious finances, both internal and external, is the government’s inept and callous management of the economy. Not the average Indian’s instinct for self-preservation.

RBI to get FSA support in supervision of UK banks

New Delhi British financial sector regulator FSA has entered into a fresh agreement with the RBI for mutual assistance and information exchange in supervision of banks operating in both the countries......

Co-op bank staff to get a salary hike

.....Recommendations have been forwarded to all the co-operative banks and 95 per cent of them have agreed ,” Patil said. On July 27, a delegation will meet the Reserve Bank of India governor to urge him to implement the Malegaon Committee report,........

Coming clean on NPAs

......There is little to be gained from making fine distinctions between NPAs and ‘restructured loans’ that merely obfuscate the underlying problem of bad debts. The panel under the RBI Executive Director, Mr B. Mahapatra, has correctly observed that restructuring of a bank account amounts to an “event of impairment”, whether or not its asset classification undergoes a downgrade. Since international accounting standards and regulations followed in advanced economies treat any restructured bank account as impaired, there is no reason for India not aligning its prudential guidelines with the global best practices.........

Regulator for cement industry sought

......The Builders’ Association of India (BAI) has called for an independent regulator for the cement industry in view of the recent developments in the sector. The body should be a quasi-judicial authority and modelled along the lines of Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (IRDA),.........

High interest rates adding to inflation: Assocham

NEW DELHI: High interest rates are adding to the headline inflation and are "defeating" the Reserve Bank's objective of checking rising prices through a tight monetary policy, a study by Assocham said ........

It's not the RBI

After pointing out that “the primary responsibility for changing the mood belongs to the Union government...”, your editorial suggests that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) lower interest rates to spur growth (“Worries over growth”, July 26). Not only is this view one-sided in that it ignores the government’s role, but it also assumes that high interest rates are the chief cause of declining growth. As Sajjid Chinoy pointed out in Business Standard (“Don’t put the cart before the horse”, July 25), our declining growth trajectory is the result of low investments caused by government policy (or lack thereof) and supply-side bottlenecks, for which the RBI is not responsible, nor does it control them. Tellingly, this view was endorsed by Indian businesses in a recent Crisil survey.

- R Sankar Delhi

A glass half full ... or half empty?

In the annual policy meet on April 17, the Reserve Bank of India surprised the market with a 50-basis point cut in the repo rate. However, in the next policy meeting on June 18, the central bank governor, D Subbarao, delivered a shocker by not only holding rates but also with his hawkish statement - that inflation was too high to cut rate. Ahead of the first quarter policy review on July 31, Business Standard takes a look at how the parameters that decide monetary policy actions changed in the last three months.......

Redefining inflation

.....The RBI Governor has spoken about inflation as a regressive tax that hits the poor. Nowhere is the impact felt more than in the case of food prices. He would do the economy a service if he administered a bold and healthy shock to the system and its expectations by saying that core inflation would be redefined to refer to only food and fuel prices. Of course, that does not mean that the rest of the prices will be ignored.

July policy a close call rate cuts to follow

........While the timing of further monetary easing remains uncertain, I expect cumulatively 150-basis points (bps) of rate cuts during 2012-13 (including 50 basis points delivered in April). RBI action next week remains a very close call; I maintain a bias for a 25-bp cut in the repo rate. Importantly, the government’s ability to marshal a fuel price rise in the near term remains a key event, as that would be seen as the first initiative (even if token) to tighten the fiscal belt.......

No reason for RBI to cut rates next week: HSBC

......."With below-normal monsoon and little policy action from Delhi, the Reserve Bank is likely to keep rates unchanged next week. The fiscal stance remains to loose for comfort and elevated inflation expectations are a concern,".........

Great steps for banks to check money-launderers

..... Post India's membership to the Financial Action Task Force (FATF), the focus on anti-money-laundering (AML) initiatives has increased. Further, the RBI has issued various guidelines to banks on reporting fraud and on the implementation of robust fraud detection and prevention systems. In particular, as Web banking expands from Web and file transfer to mobile/smartphone and social media channels, the RBI recommends taking an integrated multi-channel approach to information, transactions and fraud, in order to lower costs and increase effectiveness. It is imperative for financial institutions to deploy a comprehensive, cost-effective solution that is able to identify, detect and prevent attacks across multiple channels in real time............

Banks brace for high borrowings, as spectre of drought looms large

.....The Reserve Bank of India has already notified that states would be raising Rs 40,000 crore by way of borrowings till September end. State government borrowings or state development loans are sovereign guaranteed borrowings in a clear indication that borrowing requirements would be large. During the corresponding period of last year when monsoon rainfall was favourable borrowing in the second quarter of the year was Rs 29,000 crore.......

Revised RBI norms: Banks may find it tough to meet indirect agriculture lending target

Achieving the indirect agriculture lending target under the revised Reserve Bank of India guidelines on priority sector lending may prove to be an uphill task for banks.......

RBI to amend norms governing NBFC-MFIs

.........Following feedback received from stakeholders, the RBI will amend some directions governing MFIs, said Mr P. Vijaya Bhaskar, Executive Director, RBI, at a seminar organised by the Microfinance Institutions Network (MFIN). The directions were issued last December. Mr Vijaya Bhaskar assured the MFI representatives that their institutions were an integral part of the RBI’s financial inclusion programme.......

Guidelines on investments of surplus funds by CPSE's soon

.....The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), UTI Mutual Funds and SBI Mutual Funds have made presentations to the committee in regard to investment of surplus funds by CPSEs. The RBI has suggested to the panel various investment options such as mutual funds and government securities wherein these PSUs can invest their money, the official said......

Yet another blow for Indian banks?

......In order to prudently recognise the inherent risks in existing assets classified as standard on restructuring, an RBI working group has called for additional provisioning on these assets. It states that the provision requirement on such existing accounts should be increased from the present 2% to 5% in a phased manner over a two-year period. Thus provision will be increased to 3.5% in the first year and 5% in the second year. However, in cases of new restructuring of standard asset, the working group recommends that a 5% provision should be made with immediate effect. If this move is implemented, state run banks will see a strain in profits, while private sector banks will be relatively sheltered.......

Mobile security for Andriod users

.......It further added that there has been an increase in mobile banking. According to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), banking through mobiles increased five-fold to Rs 1,140.6 crore between January and May compared with the same period a year ago. These trends are driving the need for mobile security measures to protect information for enterprises, businesses and small and medium businesses (SMB)..........

Why treat big defaulters with kid gloves?

..........The RBI has done well to call upon the banks to insist upon promoters coughing up 15 per cent in the diminution in the value of the undertaking, or 2 per cent or the loan, whichever is higher, as a price for the rescue act. But banks should opt for coercive proceedings under the securitisation law, rather than yield to the mirage of CDR.

Ebbing fortunes for Indian banks

.........Policy uncertainty and high rates also mean that investment is on hold – how many projects can be so lucrative as to return a reasonable margin after paying between 14 per cent and 16 per cent for money borrowed from the banks? The Reserve Bank of India keeps interest rates high to support the rupee and attempt to keep inflation in check. But many Indians feel the policy is misguided and serves to discourage badly needed investment.......

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