Open market operations can hurt price stability: Subbarao

Dr D. Subbarao, Governor, RBI (right), along with Mr Benjamin Friedman, William Josep Maier Professor of Political Economy, Harvard University, at the Second Internaional Research Conference organised by the RBI in Mumbai on Wednesday

Mumbai, Feb.1: The Reserve Bank of India Governor, Dr D. Subbarao, on Wednesday cautioned that conducting open market operations — buying and selling of government paper — for liquidity management could end up hurting price stability. If the motivation for central banks to conduct OMOs is to help out a fiscally vulnerable sovereign or reduce the cost of borrowing for the sovereign, then they could end up holding price stability hostage to sovereign debt concerns, said the Governor at the Second International Research Conference. In financial year 2012 so far, the RBI has conducted OMOs aggregating Rs 71,878 crore.  The OMOs are timed just a day before the auction of government securities, thereby ensuring that banks have adequate liquidity to subscribe to these securities. Out of the expanded borrowing programme of Rs 6-lakh crore (including 364-day treasury bills), the Government has completed 87 per cent of its borrowing programme in the financial year so far. The Governor observed that at times, OMOs could be motivated by the objective of providing liquidity to support government borrowing or of reducing the yield on treasury bonds and, thereby, enhance debt sustainability. It then becomes a case of acquiescence in fiscal dominance. “There is often only a thin line, and the interpretation of the motivation for outright OMOs could vary depending on the circumstances,” said the Governor. In the presence of large sovereign borrowing that makes the Government's fiscal stance unsustainable, central banks typically have little choice, explained the Governor. “If they (central banks) do not conduct OMOs to bring systemic liquidity within reasonable limits, they risk losing control over financial stability. If they do conduct OMOs, they risk losing control over price stability. “What this really says is that fiscal responsibility is much more than a question of whether monetary policy is independent or not. It is a question of sustaining macroeconomic stability,” said the Governor. Dr Subbarao said that in India, the question has been whether the OMOs conducted by the Reserve Bank to manage systemic liquidity are acting as a disincentive for fiscal discipline. The Governor underscored that there is a need to cap total public debt as a proportion of GDP even as he cautioned that excessive borrowing is bad. Emphasising that the quality of public expenditure is important, Dr Subbarao explained that if the Government borrows and squanders that money away on unproductive current expenditure, both fiscal sustainability and growth would be jeopardised. Governments need to spend on merit goods and public goods, in particular on improving human and social capital and on physical infrastructure, he emphasised.

HBL