Thursday, October 31, 2013

A mass of jumbled signals

...........If growth were indeed slowing, so would salary and wage increases, leading to tapering of disposable income; and concerns of potential job loss leading to reduction in discretionary spending and propensity to spend, which is at odds with observed segmental inflation. If households were spending more on food, fuel and transport, given a presumed lack of income growth, should not discretionary spends, and hence pricing power, come down? So, the obvious question is: has growth really slowed as the data seems to suggest? Or is there some other source of income which is not getting captured in the data? For RBI, this quandary must be clear and present.............

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