Non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) seem to have an edge over corporates in bagging the new banking licences, if the draft norms issued by the Reserve Bank of India are any indication. This is particularly the case with NBFCs with strong track record. “Though corporates are eligible to apply for banking licences under these norms (draft guidelines for new banking licences), there is ambiguity on how RBI would define ‘diversified ownership’. As a result, clarity is yet to emerge on eligibility of Reliance Capital (54% promoter holding), Bajaj Finserv (58%) and Mahindra & Mahindra (25%),” said Pathik Gandotra, Chinmaya Garg, Kavitha Rajan of IDFC Securities in a report on Monday. The analysts are also of the view that, “NBFCs with strong track record (as Shriram Transport, IDFC) and diversified parent ownership (as L&T Finance) could be likely recipients of the new bank licences.” However, few analysts think differently. Mahrukh Adajania and Parees Purohit of Standard Chartered said in a report on Tuesday said that it is positive for groups without existing financial businesses and less so for those with existing NBFCs. “Less positive for existing NBFCs -M&M Finance and Shriram as their asset financing business will need to merge with the bank,” said Adajania and Purohit. Also, if industrial houses come into the picture it may trigger acquisition of small private sector players in the banking sector. Mihir Sheth, Anil Agarwal, Subramanian Iyer, Reshma Seth and Sumeet Kariwala of Morgan Stanley Research said in a report on Tuesday, “From a near-term perspective, the fact that industrial houses have been allowed to apply could be perceived by investors / markets to be a positive catalyst for small private sector banks (as potential acquisition plays).” Also, increase in number of players may have its own disadvantages. “It (introduction of new aggressive banks) is likely to increase existing fragmentation levels, raise competitive intensity (both on the lending and deposit sides) as well as escalate cost pressures,” said Manish Chowdhary, Aditya Narain of Citigroup Global Markets in a report on Monday. This could also lead to an erosion of the scarcity premium for existing private sector banks - especially the smaller ones (Yes Bank, Kotak, old private sector banks) - though should be gradual and over a longer period of time, said Chowdhary and Narain.
DNA