Monday, October 3, 2011

Monetary policy not the answer to inflation

.........The RBI has raised the repo rate repeatedly since the onset of the current inflation. If there is an episode giving us reason to believe that monetary policy is powerless in the face of a supply-driven inflation “it is this, it is this, it is this”. We need to get real about economics. Public institutions responsible for policy are expected to remain beyond cognitive capture.

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Monetary Policy: Drama and Realities - THROUGH THE PRISM DR. N. A. MUJUMDAR

The monetary policy measures, announced by Dr. Subbarao, Governor, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on 16th September had an element of drama. First, Dr. Kaushik Basu, Chief Economic Advisor, had openly expressed his view that there should be a " pause" in the process of monetary tightening. His opposition to hike in interest rates was based on the recent experience of Turkey. Despite high inflation Turkey began lowering interest rates from the middle of last year. What happened was interesting. Turkey's growth rate rose comparable to China's growth rate. Inflation far from rising eclined from 10 per cent in April 2010 to around 5 per cent. The counter argument is that Turkey lowered interest rates not so much with the objective of controlling inflation as to counter massive capital inflows. Dr. Basu also cited the empirical experience of South Korea during the period 1956 to the 1970s when high growth co- existed with high inflation. Dr. Basu needs to be reminded that such random examples of empirical experiences have hardly any relevance for contemporary policy making India. As the World Bank's Growth Report has emphasized. " There is no generic formula for growth.”
Each country has specific characteristics and historical experiences that must be reflected in its growth strategy". This is equally relevant for controlling inflation. Inflation in India has some distinct characteristics, as we will presently explain. The point is that such open disagreement of the Ministry of Finance was an embarrassment for RBI. The second dimension of the dramatic element was the reaction of the private corporate sector, which has all along been pampered by Governments and RBI. In the September policy measures, all that happened was a hike in the policy repo rate that is the rate of which RBI lends to banks by 25 basis points from 8 per cent to 8.25 per cent. The corporate sector's argument is that this is the 12th rate hike in the last 18 months and such aggressive monetary tightening will hurt the growth of the economy. Dr. Subbarao is dubbed as " a man killing India's growth". An objective analysis would show that all this is exaggerated and there is little substance in it. For instance, even a 12 times hike in interest rate translates in only a 3 per cent increase stubbornly high inflation even a much higher increase is called for. If we look at the experience of the 1980s, we realize that such increases were implemented without much fuss.
What is wrong is perhaps the so- called " baby steps". It would have been more appropriate to have achieved this objective by bigger steps. The appetite of the corporate sector for cheaper loans is insatiable. Even if this 3 per cent increase in the repo rate translates itself into say 1 per cent increase in bank's lending rate it would not hurt corporate sector. Because interest cost forms only 5 per cent of total costs in any industry. All the sound and fury made by the corporate sector has thus no concrete basis. The critical line in Dr. Subbarao's statement is " Meanwhile, inflation remains high, generalized and much above the comfort zone of the Reserve Bank". Inflation as measured by head- line year- onyear Wholesale Price Index ( WPI) rose from 9.2 per cent in July to 9.8 per cent in August 2011. Food inflation which hurts the middle class and the poor most is at near- double digit levels. What is more, this sort of inflation persists despite comfortable stokes of rice and wheat, and normal monsoons. Advance estimates for the 2011- 12 Kharif season indicate a record production of rice, oilseeds, and cotton. Perhaps, this inflation is being " driven by structural demand- supply imbalances and cannot be dismissed as a temporary phenomenon". Dr. I. G. Patel, former Governor RBI, used to repeatedly emphasise that our blessed country is not exempt from basic monetary laws. Money supply ( M3) growth at 18.7 per cent in August 2011 was higher than the projected growth of 15.5 per cent for the year. Similarly nonfood credit growth at 20.1 per cent in August 2011 was above the indicative projection of 18 per cent for the year. The marginal increase of 25 basis points in the repo rate announced by Dr. Subbarao is the minimum he could have done. All the sound and fury generated by the measure does not signify much. The hike in the repo rate is symbolic and not substantive. Banks are unlikely to transmit the rise to borrowers. Perhaps some marginal rise in home loans or loans to real estate is possible. The corporate sector will not suffer. The question of killing growth Risks to India's robust growth may arise from other sources.
Dr. Subbarao points out " Although India's exports have performed extremely well in the recent period, this trend is unlikely to be sustained in the face of weakening global demand". The faltering US recovery and the Euro crisis endangered by the debt problems of Greece and other countries would affect India's exports. Fortunately, India has already diversified its exports and areas other than the U. S. and Europe today account for a substantial proportion of India's total exports. This should save us from a serious dent in our exports. RBI is no doubt fighting a brave battle against the stubborn inflation. But this action needs to be reinforced by measures in the real sectors. First, we must seek to bring down the open market prices of rice and wheat. Fortunately, we have enough stocks of rice and wheat with the Food Corporation of India ( FCI). But unfortunately we are treating FCI as a glorified go- down keeper. We should activate FCI to intervene in the market by unloading its stocks with a view to bringing down open market prices of rice and wheat. FCI should become a market maker. Similarly, recent experience has shown that prices of other food items like vegetables and fruits have contributed significantly to rise in the prices of essential commodities. Here the problem is that the profits of intermediaries are very high, with the share of the farmer in the consumer rupee continuing to remain low. Streamlining the marketing arrangements of such commodities should receive immediate attention. We seem to be waiting for Wall Marts to solve the problem of linking the farmer to the consumer, eliminating unnecessary intermediaries. But we have our own model of milk marketing in the Anand dairy. If we are able to replicate such marketing models in respect of other essential commodities, we could not only succeed in controlling food inflation but also improve levels of farm incomes. We should learn to contend with these more mundane realities.
FPJ

Manna for monetary policy

By using currency depreciation as a substitute for an interest rate hike, RBI has made the inflation-growth trade-off much steeper

There has been a rather muted reaction from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to the recent bout of rupee depreciation. Considering that this is the sharpest and steepest “adjustment” in the exchange rate—11% in two months—since the fabled “hop, skip and jump” in June 1991, it deserves greater attention and analysis. Prima facie, the sharp depreciation is a market adjustment warranted by the fact that the nominal exchange rate hadn’t depreciated enough in line with the inflation differential. This made the rupee overvalued in real effective exchange rate (REER) terms. From April 2009 to July 2011, the six currency REER has increased from 96 to 119, which is about a 25% appreciation. Even on a wider basket of 36 currencies, which includes countries with higher inflation rates, REER has increased from 91 to 104, about 15%. From an analytical perspective, the 11% depreciation in the rupee brings to fore the link between exchange rates and interest rates in the Indian macroeconomic dynamics. This aspect had gone on the back burner because of the rock-like stability of the exchange rate in the last six months or so despite an adverse environment. Also, with a mountain of foreign exchange reserves there is no need for any alarmist reaction. However, given global fragility and the economy’s domestic vulnerability, the interplay of these interest rate changes and exchange rate movements will go a long way in determining developments in the nominal and real sides of the economy—inflation and real output—the two key variables that RBI is struggling to manage. Two obvious implications of the rupee depreciation will be foreign institutional investment (FII) outflows and a knock on impact on inflation. The process of containing FII outflows will involve tighter credit conditions and an interest rate spike. As far as inflation is concerned, there is bound to be a knock-on impact of the weaker rupee especially if oil prices do not fall. With rupee-denominated oil inflation leading the Wholesale Price Index (WPI), it is axiomatic that a weaker rupee will boost rupee oil inflation, which in turn will push up the WPI. Not only is imported inflation contributing almost one-third of the overall rate of inflation, incrementally the relationship is much stronger. For instance, in May 2008 when the rupee depreciated 5%, the WPI rose by 4% over the next three months. Given the fact that RBI is fighting a losing battle against inflation, which it believes is commodity price-driven due to a spurt in global commodity prices, why did it allow the rupee to slide so sharply thereby jeopardizing its own anti-inflation strategy? This is a bit curious.
The last time around when the rupee came under pressure, RBI sold more than $40 billion to prevent the rupee from depreciating. In fact, in less than four months, RBI pushed $37 billion into the system to prevent the rupee from depreciating. It hasn’t done so at this point of time as it has disruptive implications for liquidity management. By intervening and drawing down its reserves, it withdraws an equal amount of rupees out of the system causing an increase in the cash deficit. It would then require aggressive open market operations to restore the liquidity balance. More importantly, the role of exchange rate goes much beyond the pass-through into domestic prices. In the present phase of the economy, exchange rate variability—in itself and vis-a-vis interest rate variability—needs to be understood for its contractionary implications. Theoretically, the received wisdom is that exchange rates and interest rates exhibit a negative correlation as depreciations are expansionary. However, India’s import basket is not easily substitutable and has a robust demand, while its exports are easily substitutable and have less robust demand. As such, in an economy with a higher and inelastic import demand and a lower and elastic export demand, the overall effect of currency depreciation tends to be contractionary, even as it may have a positive effect on the current account deficit. The effect of the recent rupee depreciation is bound to be contractionary especially if global commodity prices do not reduce proportionately. With a bourgeoning current account deficit, rupee weakening has become a part of the process by which credit is squeezed further. A drain in external funds almost always produces a credit squeeze and interest rate spike.  The interesting point is that RBI appears to have found the depreciation coming at a convenient time and hence has watched the rupee’s slide with interest and little else. It could well be using the slide as a substitute for another interest rate hike. If this indeed is so, the million dollar question on everyone’s mind about further monetary tightening may just have been answered. The only downside to this strategy is that the inflation-growth trade-off becomes much steeper.
Mint

Why RBI rate hike will not tame inflation - A N Shanbhag

On September 16, the RBI raised its repo rate (the rate at which it lends to banks) by 25 basis points to 8.25%. A similar 25 basis point hike was announced in the reverse repo rate ( the rate at which it pays banks for deposits). This latest increase marks twelve successive rate hikes over the last eighteen months in a bid to dampening spiraling inflation. While the Eurozone is suffering from a sovereign default crisis and the US from spiraling public debt, India's problem is to do with galloping inflation. With the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) stood @ 9.78% in August, India has the fastest rising inflation factor in the so called BRIC economies. Basically inflation is nothing but an increase in general price levels in the economy.
Now, it is basic common sense that prices will reduce either when demand falls or when supply increases. Since our government seems to lack the political will to free clogged up supply, it is forced to adopt the other ( less desirable) solution - arrest demand. This it has done by tightening interest rates and making money supply dearer. They hope that higher rates will halt the demand- push price rise and thus help arrest spiraling inflation. However, this strategy comes at a cost. Higher rates also translate into lower growth. Capital is the lubricant that commerce functions on. When capital becomes expensive, industry in general is forced to slow down. Expansion plans or fresh commercial activity is naturally put on hold. Existing earnings get diluted on account of the higher input cost and interest outgo. Already, F 11- 12 earnings estimates for India Inc are down to single digit. Lower earnings translate into lower stock prices. The stock market downturn in turn would mean that the government will be forced to take pullback or postpone its proposed disinvestment program thereby further affecting the already worrisome fiscal deficit situation. The domino effect, as it were, doesn't end here. At the retail level too, due to transmission of the policy rates, the outgo on consumer, auto and housing loans increases. However, food inflation, which is causing the most distress and of prime concern to the common man cannot be influenced only by monetary policy. Simply because it is not so much an increase in demand as much as a constraint in supply that is the main cause of the problem. While it is true that schemes such as NREGS (National Rural Employment Generation Scheme) as well as the Sixth Pay Commission wage hike has indeed augmented overall disposable income in rural India, the more immediate causes of skyrocketing prices are the distribution bottlenecks as well as manipulation, in food supply. For example, it is common knowledge that the producer/ farmer gets a small fraction of the price that the end consumer ends up paying with the middlemen pocketing most of the difference. In the meanwhile, the supply chain is laughing all the way to the bank. The irony is that the government only knows too well what needs to be done. Tonnes of food grain rots in government warehouses for lack of proper storage and distribution facilities. The loopholes in the PDS (Public Distribution System) are well documented. Organized retail would benefit the farmer as well as the consumer. Unfortunately vote bank politics has taken precedence over reforms in a sector that is in dire need of improved infrastructure. Rupee Depreciation The other issue which is complicating the situation further is the falling rupee. Though currency fluctuation is beyond the control of the government, the fact remains that a fall of nearly 10% over the past couple of months has seen the rupee drop to almost Rs. 50 to a dollar. This has essentially happened on account of a heightened perception of sovereign risk across the eurozone resulting in an across the board appreciation of the US dollar against most international currencies. Thankfully, a simultaneous drop in global commodity prices is partly offsetting the negative impact of an expensive dollar - but largely a depreciating rupee will only go towards inflating the value of imports. Manufacturers would typically pass on the price rise to the consumers further fuelling the price rise.
To Sum Apart from attempting to unclog the supply side constraints, the government could also have helped itself ( and consequently the common man) by adopting some financial discipline. The largest component of discretionary expenditure is on subsidies on food, fertilizer and petroleum products. As per the RBI Governor himself, in reducing these subsidies, there is inevitably a tension between democratic compulsions and economic virtue. However, vote bank politics comes in the way. Though the official speak is that the effects of monetary policy manifest with a lag, it's already over 18 months and 12 hikes, with more in the offing. So far, the tightening has not had the desired effect on inflation - all it has resulted in is the stifling of growth. All eyes are now on October 25 when the Central Bank will announce its policy for the second quarter. In the previous monetary review, the RBI view is that any change in the policy stance would dilute the impact of past policy actions. So unless there were firm signs of downward movement in the inflation trajectory, it would be imperative to persist with the current anti- inflationary stance. Be that as it may, unless the leadership shows political determination and the ability to look at the big picture, no amount of tinkering with the rates are going to solve our problems. APART from unclogging the supply side constraints, the government could also have helped itself (and consequently the common man) by adopting some financial discipline.
FPJ

RBI is positioned to tackle rupee depreciation this time as well

...One should give credit to the RBI for making two most impressive transactions in the recent past – in FY 2008, it bought $78 billion of dollars at the cheapest exchange rate and in November 2009 bought about 200 tonne of gold worth $6.70 billion when the gold price was hovering around $1,060 per ounce....

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Rupee will shine again

The recent steep fall of the rupee against the dollar (“The rupee under pressure,” editorial, Sept.27), even threatening to breach the psychological mark of Rs.50 after retaining its stability for long, only reminded me of the dealer-miracles performed by our regulators in the RBI and the Ministry of Finance during the Asian currency crisis in 1997 to keep the rupee stable when almost all Asian currencies went down in two phases. It was at that time that global economic soothsayers envisaged the fall of the rupee beyond retribution and even beyond the level of Rs.50 or more against the American dollar but were proved wrong. Their wisdom in stoutly refusing to concede the repeated yearnings of all lead players in the forex market for full convertibility of the rupee helped them as a major factor to contain the flight of the most needed foreign exchange reserve and the rupee retain its glow.
Tharcius S. Fernando, Chennai (HBL)

Better not step in

The recent sharp movement of rupee-dollar exchange rate is part of the turmoil in world markets, which are currently witnessing large currency flows. In coming months, world economic conditions may lead to a further increase in cross-border flows, and currency markets may see even sharper movements. Now that India is open in many aspects, currency volatility will have an impact on many dimensions of economic activity. The Reserve Bank of India will come under pressure to intervene in currency markets by those who stand to lose. Most recently, we have seen pressure on the RBI to prevent rupee depreciation. There are two big losers on account of depreciation. First, importers would now have to pay more for the same dollar value of imports. To some extent, it is possible for importers to hedge their currency risk. However, since hedging is costly, it is often incomplete, and sharp depreciations lead to a sudden increase in costs of importing.
IE

What ails asset reconstruction firms?



.....The Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) inspection team has found that Asset Reconstruction Co. (India) Ltd (Arcil), the country’s oldest and biggest asset reconstruction firm, is not driven by its board but its major shareholders—State Bank of India, ICICI Bank Ltd and IDBI Bank Ltd—and its accounting policies are not in line with the regulator’s norms.
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Rangarajan sets the record straight on jobless growth

.......In an article published in the Economic and Political Weekly (dated 24 September), the former Reserve Bank of India governor has, among other things, made the key observation: “As against 60 million job creation in the period 1999-2000 to 2004-05, just about a million jobs were created in 2004-05 to 2009-10.”....

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The elusive ‘optimal' housing finance model

....Indeed, more interesting is the RBI recommending the use of interest rate derivatives in precisely the area – housing finance — which caused the historic upheaval in global financial markets and the economy in 2008........

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Sunday, October 2, 2011

NIBM gets new Director


Established in 1969 by the Reserve Bank of India, in consultation with the Government of India, as an autonomous apex institution, with the mandate of playing a proactive role of “think-tank” of the banking system, the NIBM is part of the grand vision of giving a new direction to the banking industry in India and making the industry a more cost-effective instrument for national development. Shri Allen C A Pereira has taken over charge as Director of the National Institute of Bank Management, Pune on 1st October 2011. 

Born on 16th September 1950, Shri Allen C A Pereira graduated in Arts and completed his post graduation in Social Work with specialization in Labour/Personnel Admn. & Industrial Organisation from the University of Mysore, Karnataka. He started his career with Syndicate Bank as Specialist Officer in Personnel in 1973.  He served the bank in various capacities as Branch Manager, Chief Manager, Asst General Manager and General Manager. During his career, he could get exposure to Retail, International Business and Corporate Banking. He was Advisor for Personnel and Industrial Relations at the Indian Banks' Association for four years. His responsibilities included providing necessary inputs and assistance to the Negotiating Committee of IBA for Industry level negotiations with Trade Unions on salary, allowances and perks for bank employees. Besides this, he was Secretary/Chief Executive of the banks' Sports Board, policy making body in Indian Banks' Association for promoting sports in Banks. A true HR person as he can be described, Shri Pereira made concerted efforts by activating a fresh look at Human Resource Management / Development in Public Sector Banks which led to the formation of Committee of CEOs of PSBs for proposing an HRM policy and areas of autonomy for public sector banks. The Government of India accepted most of the recommendations of the Committee beginning with the successful implementation of Voluntary Retirement Scheme in 1999/2000. He was Executive Director of Oriental Bank of Commerce before being taking charge as Chairman & Managing Director of Bank of Maharashtra in 2008. During his stint in the Bank of Maharashtra, he introduced a transparent and business oriented transfer policy for officers and workmen. He restructured the bank from 4 tier to 3 tier organization for improving efficiency and decision making process. The bank could achieve 100% CBS and had accelerated expansion of branch network with focus on unbanked and underbanked areas including North East Region. 132 branches were opened within the span of two years and crossed 100,000 crores total business as a part of Platinum Jubilee of the Bank. He made sustained efforts to improve lending to agriculture sector and SMEs.

On behalf of all its readers, VITALINFO extends best wishes to Shri Pereira.

RBI detects fake Indian notes in office

New Delhi, Oct 1 (IANS) The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has registered a police complaint here after detecting 192 fake Indian currency notes in their office in August, police said. RBI Assistant General Manager P. Kavitha complained to a central Delhi police station about the fake notes. “The printing or circulation of forged Indian currency notes is an offence under Section 489-A to 489-E of the Indian Penal Code. We request you to conduct an investigation and book the culprits,” Kavitha said in the written complaint.“We have also been provided with the name and addresses of the tenderer,” said a police officer.
Thaindian News

RBI : Online mechanism to redress complaints

HYDERABAD: Unhappy with the service rendered by your banker? You can register your complaint with the Banking Ombudsman set up under the aegis of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and expect a speedy settlement, thanks to RBI’s online complaint tracking system. While the Banking Ombudsman has been in existence for a while, the central bank has recently adopted the online complaint registering mechanism. As a result, complaints that typically used to take more than two to three months can now be settled with in less than a month. “Customers can file their complaints online. This is more transparent and ensures speedy processing. We are able to settle nearly 60 to 65 per cent complaints in a year,” said Andhra Pradesh RBI Chief General Manager & Banking Ombudsman M Sebastian. He added that awareness levels among customers about the Ombudsman is low and hence the RBI has been gearing up to conduct workshops in rural areas. During 2010 to 2011, the number of complaints from metropolitan areas constituted 44.03 per cent of the total complaints from Andhra Pradesh followed by urban areas at 26.12 per cent, semi-urban areas at 18.06 per cent and rural areas at 11.79 per cent. During the year 2010-11 about 5,012 complaints have been received by the Banking Ombudsman in Andhra Pradesh as against 5,622 complaints registered in 2009-10. The regional office had dealt with 5,338 complaints including 326 complaints pending in 2010. Of these, 5,021 complaints have been closed. Interestingly, the State Bank of India and associates, including SBI Cards, accounted for the largest share of complaints at 41 per cent. The other significant inflow of complaints have been observed in respect of nationalized banks at 28.23 per cent. On the other hand complaints on private sector and foreign banks accounted for 18.6 per cent and 7.26 per cent respectively. “In our assessment, major banks have made significant enhancements in their internal grievance redressal and processes in response to more resolute regulatory and supervisory interventions and proactive engagement by the Banking Ombudsman,” said Sebastian. Meanwhile, ATM and credit cards related complaints formed a significant proportion followed by those relating to loans and advances at 15.22 per cent and delay in disbursement of railways and defence services pension at 11.41 per cent.
IBN Live

RBI cautions against fictitious offers of cheap fund

Shimla : The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) today cautioned the general public against fictitious offers of cheap funds from abroad, often in form of lottery prizes money, through letters, e-mails and SMS. While addressing a press conference here, Officer-in-charge of the RBI, Shimla branch R Gurumurthi said that the apex Bank was creating awareness campaign about the crime in the country. He informed that many complaints were pouring from different quarters with RBI that fraudulent communications offers form individual and trusts were being made with people alluring them for lottery winnings or remittance of funds in foreign currency from abroad or employment or scholarships which are perpetrated by certain residents and non residents. He said factious offers are generally made through letters, e-mail, and mobile phones and SMS. Apart from the typical modalities adopted in the past, the fraudsters are now resorting to issue of certificates, letters and circulars which are sent through e-mail on letterheads that look like that of Reserve Bank and purportedly signed by its top executives or seniors officials to make them appear as genuine. The fraudsters also convince the victims by impersonating as senior officials of the RBI with telephones numbers and factious e-mail Ids. Many residents fell prey to such teasing offers and lost large sums money in the process. Advising people not become pray of any such call, Mr Gurumurit informed that a case has come before RBI from Himachal Pradesh belong to Rampur area of this district as a person complaint that after depositing Rs 30 lakh in similar allurement for getting Rs 4 crore, he lost his deposit after becoming prey of crime. He cautioned the people that getting any offers from foreign and accepting it is crime under FEMA and people should not fall in any such trap while such fictitious offers are coming in rampant leaving victims hapless. Replying to a question he said after becoming victim of such offer people normally did not report or complaints to RBI and other government agencies as under law they themselves become part of crime after accepting the offer to such call and their indulgence and implications in the crime keep complaint mum.  The crime is flourishing due to lack of whistleblower as victim themselves get trap in the web of crime and threat of law forced the victim to bear the consequence on their own.
http://www.newkerala.com/news/2011/worldnews-73841.html 

Minted In A Sepia Tone



Money talks
Then finance secretary Manmohan Singh with RBI Governor I.G. Patel

Who isn’t fascinated by money? When a new ten-rupee coin is released, we keep turning it in our fingers to see if it feels right, there is heated debate about its design, size and look. Or when a much-loved denomination like the 25 paise is phased out, there is a perceptible collective sigh, and in some rural pockets, sheer dismay. Why won’t shopkeepers in the cities accept the 50-paise coin though it’s still official currency, people wonder. The rupee, of course, touches us all and the Mint Road Milestones—marking the creator of the rupee, the Reserve Bank of India’s, 75th anniversary—is an exhibition that captures the currency’s fascinating journey. In 1935, under the Paper Currency Act of 1861, the Raj was granted the monopoly of issuing notes, ending the practice of private and presidency banks. But these currencies continued to be in use till the RBI issued its own coins and notes. Interestingly, till about 50 years ago, other currencies besides the RBI’s existed in, for instance, Portuguese Goa and Hyderabad. The central bank’s first currency, issued in 1938, was a five-rupee note bearing the portrait of King George VI. This was followed by notes of 10, 100, 1,000 and, yes, 10,000 rupees. In the subsequent years, global developments, security concerns and the high cost of minting money led to many changes in the motif and the material of the currency. In 1940, the one-rupee note was reintroduced as a wartime measure. The watermark was made more difficult to copy and the security thread was introduced in 1944 to counter high-quality forgeries of rupees by the Japanese during their assault on Burma in WW II. There is no uniformity or regularity in the change of colour, security features or pattern. “It isn’t wise to change the design and features frequently as it inconveniences people. At the same time, to prevent forgeries, we can’t keep it constant,” says Alpana Killawala, the RBI’s chief general manager. The George VI series continued till 1947. After Independence, a new design one-rupee coin was released in 1949. After careful consideration, King George VI’s portrait was replaced by Asoka’s Lion Capital, though a portrait of Mahatma Gandhi was initially considered but rejected. In 1960, the Hirakud dam, a symbol of India’s industrialisation, replaced the elephant motif on the Rs 100 note. During the first decade of Independence, the rupee was divided into 16 annas. Each anna was subdivided into either four pices or 12 pies. The Anna Series, introduced on January 26, 1950, was the first coinage of the Republic of India. It was continued for seven years, and then replaced with the decimal system, which divided the rupee into 100 naya paise. High inflation led to change in the metal for coins—from silver to nickel to aluminium to steel. Similarly, the paper currency has undergone a sea change—the economic crisis of the late 1960s led to a reduction in the size of notes and fears of black money in circulation led to the cancellation of high denomination notes like the Rs 1,000, the Rs 5,000 and the Rs 10,000 in 1978. But in 2000, the Rs 1,000 series were reintroduced with optically variable ink that changes colour on tilting. Given that the lifespan of a currency note is generally only two years, many of the paper currencies, such as the Rs 1 and Rs 2 notes, have now been phased out. The five-rupee note is due to be phased out too. The coins and notes of today are all part of the Mahatma Gandhi series that came into use in 1996. The currency notes have complex watermarks, windowed security thread, a latent image of Gandhi and intaglio features for the visually handicapped. Further enhancements in 2005-06 raised intaglio printing and widened the security thread. As Mint Road Milestones continues its southward journey from Delhi to Mumbai and further down, one thing’s for certain. The lure of this must-see history of the rupee will be difficult to resist.
The Outlook

Obituary

1. Shri,V.Sreenivasan, who retired as DGM from DBOD, Mumbai in 1995 passed away due to cardiac arrest on September 27, 2011. He was 76 years old and had worked in RBI for 42 years and in different departments. He was a very popular officer and had a wide circle of friends and admirers. His wife had pre-deceased him. He is survived by his three sons and grandchildren.

2. Shri.P.B.Arole passed away on September 17,2011. He retired from DBOD and was 72 years old. He had worked in RBI for over 35 years and had a long stint in the Secretary's Department. He was ever-smiling and helpful. He leaves behind his wife and three children.
We pray that the souls of these two good persons rest in peace.

As reported by P.P.Ramachandran (via e-mail)

May we help you? - Why the RBI is sticking to repo rate hikes

Have you, like some of our readers, been baffled at why the Reserve Bank of India seems to be using only the repo rate to combat inflation? The RBI has been trying to counter inflation by raising interest rates, increasing interest costs for borrowers and providing savers an incentive. A lower demand for loans with lower consumption due to higher savings would moderate demand, and prices. The RBI has historically used Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR), Market Stabilisation Scheme (MSS) and the repo rate to keep tabs on inflation. However, from first half of 2010, RBI has only used the repo rate. It is only 0.75 percentage points from the peak rate witnessed in 2008. But the CRR, is still three percentage points from the September 2008 peaks. Why isn't the RBI tapping this? Let's first understand what CRR and MSS bonds are. The CRR is a reserve banks have to keep with the RBI. The CRR ratio is now 6 per cent, i.e., for every Rs 100 of deposits a bank gets, it has to maintain Rs 6 with the RBI. This CRR doesn't earn any interest. The main aim of the ratio is to reduce liquidity in the system. Given that majority of the financial savings of households and corporates go into deposits, by increasing or decreasing the reserve RBI would be able to attain its monetary policy objective. The MSS was introduced in 2004 to manage liquidity after there was an excessive capital flow from abroad. The capital flows were impacting rupee liquidity , which would have fuelled inflation, reducing the effectiveness of CRR hikes and other monetary tools. Under the MSS mechanism, RBI sells Government bonds. Until October 2008, MSS mopped up Rs 1.7 lakh crore from the system. The scheme wasn't compulsory but achieved RBI's objective.
But how is the current monetary tightening different from that which ended in September 2008?

Then and now

Until 2008, India's current account deficit was low and capital account excesses had to be kept under check. This time around, even as capital flows were coming in, the current account deficit was high which was compensating the for excess capital flow. These two factors neutralised exchange rate. Therefore, RBI didn't use MSS bonds this time. Coming to CRR, it is not that RBI hasn't used it in the current monetary tightening. Till April 2010, RBI had increased the CRR requirement to 6 per cent from 4 per cent. It didn't aggressively pursue this tool as the liquidity situation had deteriorated significantly. Banks, which were sitting on excess deposits, didn't raise rates for a long time, leading to households diverting these funds to other sources. Additionally, Government and private borrowing shot up resulting in a liquidity deficit scenario. Even though the CRR wasn't hiked to previous peaks, the liquidity deficit was more than RBI's target. A liquidity deficit situation arises when deposits aren't sufficient to fund various banking operations, prompting banks to resort to borrowing from RBI and the market to fund these operations. 
HBL

RBI to charge repo rate for loans to state cooperative bank

KOLKATA: The Reserve Bank of India has decided to link the interest rate on loans and advances given to state coopoerative banks for general banking facilities like clearing adjustments or liquidity with the repo rate from October 1. Till date, state cooperative banks used to get this facility at bank rate, which was at one point considered as the benchmark rate. But the banking regulator has over a period of time made repo rate acceptable as the benchmark short term policy rate and this latest decision is a stap to this endeavour. At present, the repo rate stands at 8.25% while the bank rate has been at 6% for quite some time. In effect, state cooperative banks have to pay 225 basis points more interest for availing themselves of the facility.
ET

Rupees run dry

Bhutan : With rupee borrowings to pay for imports from India having reached a staggering INR 10B, and its demand by the Bhutanese economy showing no signs of slowing down, the central bank is doing what it can to address the problem – borrowing more rupees. Central bank officials are negotiating with India’s central bank, the Reserve Bank of India, to borrow from them. The interest rates would be relatively cheaper than the State Bank of India line of credit. According to an official, it is expected to be around 6.2 percent. SBI charges an interest of 10 percent. It is five percent from a credit facility extended by the government of India (GoI), which has a limit of INR 3B. “The initial plan was that RBI will lend in dollars but, due to the rising demand for rupee, we requested them to lend us in rupee, which they’ve agreed to,” the official said.  This will be the third line of credit for Bhutan to borrow rupee. Other option to meet the demand for rupee is to enhance the limit from the SBI line of credit by INR 2 to 3B.  The official from RMA said the limit has already been exhausted at INR 7B. While no more can be borrowed, there is a rising demand for rupee within the economy. Domestic banks have not been able to meet the demand with its reserve exhausted.  RMA will be sending a letter to the State Bank of India today, requesting them to enhance the limit. All the local banks have been requesting the central bank for rupees, which RMA has not been able to provide. The Bhutan National Bank’s chief executive officer, Kipchu Tshering, said their accounts in India have exhausted and reached almost negative now. “We have to send back most of our customers, who come to the bank looking to exchange ngultrums with rupees,” he said. While there is a 400,000 limit an individual on exchanging ngultrum with rupee, there is no restriction on drafts and letters of credit.  The rupee, which the banks get from RMA, is maintained with Indian banks by the local banks.“The situation is getting worse and there seems to be no solution,” he said. The situation is similar with the rest of the banks. T-bank’s balance in their accounts in Indian Axis bank has reached only INR 10M, while Druk PNB’s balance has reached around INR 2 to 3M.  Bank of Bhutan’s chief executive officer, Passang Tshering, said that they were in a slightly better position but, in recent times, it has received complaints of rupee shortages from its customers.  While there has been increasing rupee deficit, the economy’s foreign exchange reserve has been growing. Although figures were not available, central bank officials said, forex reserve (dollar) has been increasing as of now.  In the 2009-10 fiscal year, convertible currency reserves increased to 838M from 759M in the previous fiscal, according to the RMA annual report.  Against the backdrop of rupee crisis and increasing foreign exchange reserve, Bhutanese economists suggests selling dollars in the Indian market for rupee. An economist said since rupee is more important than dollar, given the volume of trade with India, selling USD in the Indian market could address the issue for some time. “Moreover, the dollar has gone up to INR 49 to 50 a dollar, which would mean higher returns,” he said. For example selling USD 200M in the Indian market could fetch Nu 9.8B, which is almost equivalent to the rupee deficit of INR 10B. But then the constitution mandates 12 months of import expenditure from the foreign exchange reserves, and RMA officials said selling dollars in the Indian market would provide only temporary relief.  In most developing economies, the constitution mandates only five to six months of import expenditure from foreign exchange reserves, according to another economists. 
http://www.kuenselonline.com/2010/modules.php?name=News&file=article&sid=20973

What drove, and who wins from, rupee's fall

...Yes, it is the season where the rupee has developed slippery feet and has ‘depreciated' against the dollar. In other words, while the exchange rate of the dollar vis-à-vis the rupee was at 44-45 levels just a little while back, it is now at over 49 levels. This has caught many investors off-guard....

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Patients' charter of rights in the offing

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The NHRDA will be linked to the ministry of health and family welfare. It will be an autonomous body - similar to the office of RBI Governor - and will have statutory powers to regulate the healthcare sector.....

Poor Muslims can’t bank on APSMFC

Moreover, the banks have been reluctant to step up sanction and disbursement of loans to the minorities, virtually ignoring the RBI's repeated directives to them to ensure 15 percent credit flow of all the priority sector lending (PSL) to these sections......

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Doctor shoots down burglar

....Residents of the colony caught Murali’s associate, Shiva, after a chase. Investigation revealed that the two had struck at the residence of former RBI Governor, Y.V. Reddy, four days ago, in Jubilee Hills.....

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Saturday, October 1, 2011

RBI meet on currency management held

PATNA: The 19th high-powered meeting of the standing committee on currency management for Bihar was held at the Reserve Bank of India, Patna, on Thursday to discuss issues relating to implementation of clean note policy, customer services, and availability and retail distribution of notes and coins. The meeting also deliberated on detection-impounding-reporting of fake Indian currency notes, security arrangement at the currency chests and movement of treasure among the banks across the state. RBI Regional Director for Bihar and Jharkhand Mohit Kumar Singh chaired the meeting attended by IG, CID, Praveen Vashishtha, other police officials and senior railway officials, BSNL and department of posts and controlling heads of major banks, an RBI release said.
TOI

Credit, debit card complaints dip 26% in AP

Credit card and debit card-related complaints in Andhra Pradesh have come down to 26 per cent this year, from 38 per cent last year, according to a report on the working of the Banking Ombudsman Scheme in AP for the year 2010-11. “The claims were related to the charges, finances and disputed transactions,” M Sebastian, Banking Ombudsman (AP), Reserve Bank of India, told mediapersons here on Friday. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI)’s ombudsman scheme (2006) provides a forum to bank customers for expeditious and inexpensive resolution of complaints relating to deficiency in specified banking services. The state has received a total of 5,012 complaints this year through the banking ombudsman, as against 5,622 complaints received last year. The inflow of the complaints moderated during the year after persistent surge during the previous two years, he said. Of the total, complaints relating to loans and advances accounted for 15.22 per cent, while complaints relating to delay in disbursement of railways and defence services pension formed 11.41 per cent. The number of complaints from metropolitan areas constituted 44.03 per cent of the total complaints, followed by urban areas at 26.12 per cent, semi-urban areas at 18.6 per cent and rural areas at 11.79 per cent. “More than 30 per cent of the complaints are from rural and semi-urban areas, whereas the volume of bank transactions was more in metropolitan cities. We are putting our efforts in taking the ombudsman scheme to the remotest of villages to reach the customers,” he said. The RBI has a CTS system to help the customers in filing online complaints. The banks have taken initiatives and made arrangements to reduce the grievances. Of the total complaints, around 61.25 per cent of them had been settled, Sebastian said.
BS

Over 95% home loans are floating: RBI

With floating interest rates encompassing over 95 per cent of home loans, the Reserve Bank appointed banking ombudsman has been receiving a number of complaints from borrowers on the mounting credit risks as a result of increasing interest rates. The Reserve Bank of India, taking cognisance of the situation, is likely to instruct banks to not recover pre-payment charges on floating rate home loans and has asked the Indian Banks Association (IBA) to suggest measures that can be taken to address the issue. “Only 2-3 per cent of the loans are fixed rate loans today. Even though interest risk is managed by banks, the risk is ultimately forced on the customer in a rising interest rate scenario,” Rajeshwar Rao, Chief General Manager, RBI and Banking Ombudsman New Delhi area said on Tuesday. Floating rate loans pass on the interest rate risk from banks which are much better placed to manage it to borrowers and thus banks only substitute interest rate risk with potential credit risk.  If a decision on this comes through it will be for both own source funds and borrowed source funds of banks.  The IBA has sought time to respond and is expected to give its view by month end.  Towards providing relief to customers facing problems with credit card transactions, the RBI has asked the ombudsman to place the onus of proving customer negligence on the banks and also to compensate the customers for losses arising out of unauthorised transactions. Some of the other measures being taken under the banking ombudsman scheme of the RBI include providing compensation of up to Rs 1 lakh for mental harassment due to inflated or wrongly computed credit card bills by banks. However, clear guidelines on this are yet to emerge on account of the subjectivity of the matter and the RBI and IBA are both working on it. According to data released by the RBI for the Delhi region (including New Delhi, Ghaziabad, Noida, Jammu & Kashmir and Haryana), over 10,500 complaints have been registered between July 2010 and July 2011. Maximum number of complaints in the region relate to the State Bank of India followed by ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank that are the three major banks operating in this region, said Rao. “Majority of the complaints (32 per cent) were credit card related issues. Deposit account were 18 per cent and remittance glitches 9 per cent,” said Rao.
ExpressIndia

MFIN's initiative in reviving microfinance sector

The micro finance sector has started witnessing some positive developments after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) allowed the continuance of priority sector lending (PSL) status for bank loans to micro finance institutions in May this year providing a clear sense of direction to the sector. The regulatory framework outlined in the draft micro finance bill released to the public in July, which is likely to be introduced during the winter session of Parliament, would help faster recovery of the sector, according to Alok Prasad, Chief Executive, Micro Finance Institutions Network (MFIN). In an interaction with this correspondent, Mr. Alok Prasad said only in Andhra Pradesh there was no activity in lending and repayment and in other States there was significant recovery, following a number of measures announced by the Malegam Committee. He said MFIN was the premier industry association engaged in an intensive process of dialogue with the RBI for providing additional inputs and clarifications from time to time. After the crisis in Andhra Pradesh, several measures have been announced to improve the condition of the microfinance industry and the only new regulation in place since the Andhra Pradesh Government's ordinance in October last year was the circular issued by the RBI in May this year. Mr. Alok Prasad said many microfinance organisations especially in Andhra Pradesh have adopted corporate debt restructuring (CDR) to restructure their bank loans. MFIN was in discussion with the state government and was hopeful of reviving the microfinance activity in the state, he said. According to him there would be consolidation in the industry through mergers as smaller microfinance institutions were finding it difficult to go alone due to regulatory caps on margins and the prevailing high interest rates. As for the initiatives taken by MFIN, Mr. Alok Prasad said the organisation would work closely with the regulators and other key stakeholders to achieve larger financial inclusion goals through microfinance. MFIN has formulated and implemented a well-defined code of conduct for its members numbering 49 through an intensive process of consultation with them and other stake holders.
HBL

Kerala becomes first ‘total banking State'

Kerala was declared the first State in the country to achieve total financial inclusion. The achievement means that each household in the State has at least one bank account and the facility for need-based credit. At a meeting of bankers here on Friday, Chief Minister Oommen Chandy distributed certificates to the banks that had participated in a drive to take banking services to every corner of the State. Mr. Chandy said banks had a lot more to do for the State and its people. Lending to the agriculture sector should go up from the present 22 per cent of the total lending to priority sector (Reserve Bank of India's norm is 18 per cent).  The lending classified as lending to agriculture included the loans to the plantation sector that absorbed large credit. The other areas of farm sector could do with more credit support than at present. The Chief Minister drew the banks' attention to the need for extending credit support to the Clean Kerala Mission, a programme to make the State live up to its nickname of ‘God's Own Country.' Growth in sectors such as tourism and healthcare could be further accelerated with the help of banks. Banks could also think of schemes to encourage institutions of excellence in education.  He said there was no reason why Kerala could not achieve a double-digit growth rate. S. Raman, Chairman and Managing Director of Canara Bank, in his capacity as the convener of the State Level Bankers' Committee (SLBC), said at the meeting that Palakkad district had become the first district in the country to achieve total financial inclusion four years ago. Among others, Minister for Rural Development K.C. Joseph; Regional Director of RBI Suma Varma; Chief Secretary P. Prabhakaran; Executive Director of Canara Bank Archna S. Bhargava also addressed the function.
HBL

'Suit'able suggestion................

U.S. Banks Listen Up, India Has Something To Say

An amazing New York Times story on the State Bank of India’s outreach efforts to India’s poor offers insight into what it looks like when a bank serves its least likely customers. Perhaps American banks could learn a thing or two.The story follows Swati Yashwant, a sort of freelance banker who helps India’s rural poor set up bank accounts with the State Bank of India, which is India’s biggest bank, and which is owned by the government. She is not an employee of the State Bank of India, but she works for commission based on the number of transactions she completes for her client bank. This system was actually set up by India’s central bank, the Reserve Bank of India, to deal with the severe lack of bank branches in the developing nation. The New York Times explains “about 70 percent of India’s population is dispersed among more than 600,000 villages [but] the entire country has only 33,500 bank branches.” Because of this, only half of all of India’s households have bank accounts. And presumably because so few people have accounts in rural villages, and little money to save anyway, banks are hesitant to open branches. The Reserve Bank, according to the Times, assigns certain villages to certain banks, and ordered banks to serve them. So their low-cost solution to this mandate is to hire “business correspondents,” armed only with laptops, fingerprint scanners, and wireless modems, to expand their banking services to the country’s poor. As a result of the poverty in rural India, the account balances are minuscule by our standards: on average 160 rupees, or about $3.30. That’s paltry, but keep in mind that the going rate for a savings account in India is 4%. In five years that account will be worth $4. Can you imagine savings rates like that in the States?  The article closes on an interesting note. State Bank claims they lose money on most of the accounts people like Swati open, but that they see it as a “social obligation,” which might become profitable in the coming years. Now the United States is nowhere near as poor as India. And only 7% of our population — or 21 million — are unbanked, compared to 500 billion in India. Poverty and banking are quite different here and in India. But just as striking are the differences between bankers’ attitudes towards the poor, and towards their social mission. Namely, Indian bankers who work at big banks think they have a social mission, and can think in the long term to make their social mission profitable. Big American bankers, save for their low- or no-interest lending to CDFIs, don’t seem to feel similarly compelled. 
http://www.mybanktracker.com/bank-news/2011/09/30/state-bank-of-india-reaches-out-to-an-unlikely-demographic/

Cooperative leaders should introspect

While the whole world is complaining against Urban Cooperative banks style of functioning, NAFCUB Chairman H K Patil has words of encouragement for them and compares them better than commercial bank in terms of financial inclusion. Talking on the eve of Federation’s 35th Annual General Meeting in New Delhi Mr Patil said that in the year 2010-2011 the deposits of urban cooperative banks increased at the rate of 14.8% while the advances grew at 22.4%. These figures compare well with the corresponding figures of commercial banks at 15.4% and 20.1% respectively. He said that CRAR of 91% of the Urban Cooperative Banks is more than 9%, making the sector well capitalized by and large. Mr Patil observed that NAFCUB’ s interactions with the Reserve Bank of India during the year under report had been very fruitful. As a result, RBI had issued a number of circulars, particularly to augment urban banks’ role in financial inclusion and had also made favourable policy announcements. The Report of the Malegam Committee on licensing of new Urban Cooperative Banks, constituted on the demand of NAFCUB, Shri Patil informed has been put in the public domain for comments. The Report, he said, has also made very important recommendations on the issue of Umbrella Organization for providing financial and other support to small urban cooperative banks. The Government’s approach to the sector, however, he said has remained at best indifferent. Despite repeated memorandums on the adverse impact of Direct Tax Code on Urban Cooperative Banks and even small urban cooperative credit societies, the Government has not taken cognizance of the problem that the new Tax Code would create for the sector. The sector, he said, was also worried on account of the sweeping powers proposed to be given to the Registrar of Cooperative Societies under Multi State Cooperative Societies Act Amendment Bill, without due consultation with the sector. He said that RBI has recognized the fact that urban cooperative banks have been the earliest purveyors of financial inclusion as the very foundation of cooperative credit movement was based on the concept of support to less privileged sections of society. In this context, NAFCUB, in December last, had launched a nationwide scheme for providing CBS on ASP model to small urban cooperative banks at affordable cost so that these banks are able to provide the same services to their clients as large commercial banks are providing and are able to increase their thrust towards financial inclusion. NAFCUB has also launched a Research Scheme for promoting research on Urban Cooperative Banks and to involve youth in the movement. Under this scheme Research Scholars enrolled for Ph.D/M.Phil with UGC recognized Universities are provided scholarship for their research work. He termed cooperative credit societies as very important financial intermediaries that were doing important work of providing financial services to unorganized sector and they had great potential to do more given proper support from the authorities.
http://indiancooperative.com/ncui/cooperative-leaders-should-introspect-nabard-chairman/

Kumar Mangalam Birla latest victim of credit card fraud

Whoever thought credit card scams were only limited to the regular citizens should think again. The latest to join the list of credit card fraud victims is none other than Mr. Kumar Mangalam Birla, the Chairman of the multi-billion-dollar Aditya Birla group. The leading industrialist’s card was reportedly cloned and used to make purchases worth Rs. 286,000 in Bangalore while Birla was in Mumbai. He learned of the fraudulent transactions when he received his monthly account statement. An FIR filed with the Mumbai police says that Birla's credit card was used to buy electronics items. The Mumbai Police is reportedly investigating the matter in coordination with the Bangalore Police. They are also taking help of cyber experts. Card cloning is a practice wherein all the card details are fraudulently obtained through a pager sized scanner and copied on to a counterfeit card.  In order to minimise fraud cases and ensure security of transactions, the RBI had earlier this month asked banks to implement various safety measures related to credit card and debit card usage over the next two years. The central bank directed banks to strengthen the existing payment infrastructure and future proofing system along with adoption of fraud risk management practices within a period of next 12-24 months, RBI said. 
IIFL

Remove entry bar for new banks: PMEAC

New Delhi: Even as Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is planning to issue just a couple of licences after it finalises the norms for the entry of new banks, C Rangarajan, chairman, economic advisory council to the Prime Minister, has suggested that there should be no bar on entry of new banks. “If the banking system is to remain competitive, there should be no bar on entry of new banks .” 
FE

RBI to Take Second Quarter Monetary Policy Review

Reserve Bank of India (RBI), the apex banking regulator of India, has announced that it will meet to take call on second quarter review of monetary policy on October 25. RBI has scheduled the meeting with the chief executives of major scheduled commercial banks at 11.00 a.m. on October 25, 2011 at the Central Office, Reserve Bank of India, Mumbai.  After the meeting Dr. D. Subbarao, Governor, Reserve Bank of India will announce the Second Quarter Review of Monetary Policy 2011-12 on same day. RBI has announced the first quarter review of monetary policy on July. Amid spiraling inflation, the central Bank of India has hiked key policy rates by 25 basis points while announcing the mid-quarter monetary policy review, September 2011. According to this report, RBI had hiked the repo rate by 25 bps to 8.25% from 8%, and reverse-repo rate stands adjusted to 100 bps below the repo rate at 7.25% and the marginal standing facility (MSF) rate to 9.25%. Despite the strong monetary policy stance it failed to tame inflation. In last 18 months RBI has increased the key policy rate 12 times. RBI has raised the key policy rates by 350 percentage points to control inflation, which is sharpest upper movement in interest rate around the world. Even though, India is facing sharpest inflation rate amongst the emerging economies. Till now rain is normal within the country, although flood is affecting the production of wheat in Bihar. The production of food grain is expected to increase this year. RBI is alert and watchful on the problem of inflation and depreciating currency. Upcoming month is crucial for the RBI to intact the momentum of growth in adverse condition.

http://goindocal.com/rbi-to-take-second-quarter-monetary-policy-review--go-2662.htm

A Conversation With Ela R. Bhatt

Ela Bhatt, a Gandhian and a lawyer who founded the Self Employed Women’s Association in Gujarat, is sometimes referred to as the mother of microfinance. She helped start Mahila Sewa Co-operative Bank in 1974, two years before Muhammad Yunus began the project that would later become Grameen Bank. Ms. Bhatt, who is also a member of The Elders, was recently appointed to the board of the Reserve Bank of India, the country’s central bank....

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Rate hike seen

The Reserve Bank of India is seen hiking key rates by a further 25 basis points next month as food prices continue to be at elevated levels despite a decent monsoon and good agricultural performance. The apex bank is scheduled to meet on October 25 for the second quarter review of monetary policy. inflation bias,” said Pan. In a report on Thursday, Hemindra Hazari and Manuj Oberoi of Nirmal Bang Institutional Equities noted the key takeaways from a meeting with RBI’s deputy governor K C Chakrabarty: “RBI to maintain its hawkish stance on inflation and is willing to sacrifice economic growth in the short term for its broader objective of sustained  development in the long run.” The RBI has already hiked interest rates 12 times since March 2010 to control inflation.  “Unless we see the global situation worsening, we are expecting a rate hike by the RBI by 25 basis points,” said Chakrabarty.
DNA

Higher gold loan rates will affect customers, says Muthoot Finance MD

... RBI has recently appointed a committee to study whether banks should be permitted to buy out from NBFCs, based on which there could be a re-think on the earlier directive, he said. The committee will be headed by Mr M.V. Nair, Chairman, Indian Banks' Association. ....

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Onus of job creation on industry

...Good physical infrastructure, a progressive exit policy, structures to support clean and green technologies, appropriate investment incentives, and business friendly approval mechanisms will be the cornerstones of this new initiative.........

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Banks may incur MTM losses as yields shoot on higher borrowing

A surge in the yields on government securities in the last two working days of the current quarter will mean that the banks will now face the possibility of incurring mark-to-market losses on their investment, experts said on Friday. The government had yesterday announced a higher-than-planned borrowing programme for the second half of the current financial year. As a result, the yield on the 10-year benchmark government bond shot up 10 bps to close at 8.4 per cent, while yields on the second-most liquid security, the 11-year paper, went up by 8 bps. The market was not anticipating Rs 53,000 crore of extra borrowing by the government, which pulled the bond prices down. According to dealers, the most hit will be the banks that bought papers in the expectation that yields will cool off. This is because the government has been maintaining that it would stick to the budgeted borrowing target of Rs 4.17 lakh-crore this financial year. According to the issuance calendar, government borrowings will be at Rs 4.7 lakh crore this financial year. "There may be an MTM hit, as yields have hardened over the last quarter," says T S Srinivasan, general manager, Indian Overseas Bank. This is the third quarter in line when hardening yields will hurt banks' treasury. "Yields may cross 8.5 per cent unless RBI opts for a buyback in coming months. The yield curve will steepen now, as there are more issuances in 10-14 years' category than smaller durations," he adds. As mandated by the RBI, banks cannot hold more than 25 per cent worth of demand and time liabilities in held-to-maturity category. Banks need to provide mark-to-market for securities held in available-for-sale and held-for-trade categories and not for HTM category.
On Wednesday, RBI Deputy Governor Subir Gokarn issued a hawkish statement, pushing the yields go up, as the country's central bank declined to indicate any signal of pause in the rate hikes. RBI has hiked the key policy rate 12 times in the last 18 months – a total of 350 bps in the repo rate though effective tightening was 550 bps – to tackle inflation that hovered around the double digit mark for nearly 18 months. RBI will meet again on 25 October to review the monetary policy. According to treasury officials, banks that had recently acquired government bonds will feel the pinch more. "The extent of the mark-to-market loss will depend on the composition of the available for sale portfolio. The bank that had recently acquired government securities will be impacted more,&" notes a senior official from a public sector bank. However, banks tend to reduce the holding in AFS and held for trade categories in rising interest rate scenario. In such case, the extent of depreciation will be limited. "Depreciation," Pawan Bajaj, general manager, Bank of India, "may not be significant as most banks are not holding many securities in AFS category. The average tenor in AFS category is around 2.25 years." Going ahead, some of the bankers expect yields to come down, as the present level of yield will make government borrowing expensive.
BS

National Housing Bank to seek nod for raising funds thru ECBs

..NHB will soon approach the Finance Ministry and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to allow it to raise ECBs, Mr R.V. Verma, Chairman and Managing Director, NHB, told Business Line in an interview here....

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Sasan Power gets RBI nod to raise $2.2 billion

Reliance Power said it has received approval from the Reserve Bank of India to raise about $2.2 billion from the US Exim and Chinese banks for its 3,960-MW Sasan ultra-mega power project in Madhya Pradesh. The estimated cost of the project is about Rs 19,500 crore. RPower had signed memorandums of understanding with the US Exim for $5 billion in October last year and the Chinese banks for $12 billion in November. The interest rate for the US Exim loan is about 3.5 per cent and from the Chinese banks close to 5.5 per cent, with tenures of 12 years with a moratorium of four to five years during the construction period.
HBL

Whose ID is it anyway? Chidu’s or Nilekani’s? And RBI says no

....It seems as if Nandan Nilekani’s grandiose Aadhaar Unique ID project will not be all that it is cracked up to be: a simple 12-digit number that will serve as both identity and authentication for all 1.2 billion-and-odd resident Indians......

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